I think its an allegory for Israel. They won their war for independence in 1948 and let the people they defeated live with them and ever since the UN has been making the winners of a war give up "land for peace" to the losers of that war. But when there is no peace due to missles being shot...
Actually this is sort of like what they did to Germany after WW2 and what they are doing to Israel right now... still doesnt explain why they didnt let the people out unless its an analogy for east germany.
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