Trump administration installs advocate for quick Afghanistan withdrawal at Pentagon

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dreng3

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Impossible. The tribes there have been at war with one another for centuries and will continue to do so long after western civilization itself ended on the trash heap of history. Military intervention there is as effective as pouring a stick in a beehive. That bloke Eric Prince from Blackwater/Xi or whatever his PMC is called now once suggested to turn Afghanistan into a viceroy. That probably says enough. Fortune guaranteed.
But the U.S. intervened and it was done in a hamfisted manner with almost zero consideration of the consequences. The U.S. owes the people of Afghanistan an answer and probably some sort of reparations or resolution.
Wanting to pull out troops is seen as a service to the troops and the tax-payers without any consideration for the ills brought upon the citizens of another nation by the hawkish politicians in the U.S.
 

stroopwafel

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But the U.S. intervened and it was done in a hamfisted manner with almost zero consideration of the consequences. The U.S. owes the people of Afghanistan an answer and probably some sort of reparations or resolution.
Wanting to pull out troops is seen as a service to the troops and the tax-payers without any consideration for the ills brought upon the citizens of another nation by the hawkish politicians in the U.S.
Sometimes in life the only option left is the least worst option. Every dollar and life lost there was for nothing. There is really no other choice than just accept and move on. They don't call Afghanistan ''the graveyard of empires'' for nothing.
 
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Iron

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But the U.S. intervened and it was done in a hamfisted manner with almost zero consideration of the consequences. The U.S. owes the people of Afghanistan an answer and probably some sort of reparations or resolution.
Wanting to pull out troops is seen as a service to the troops and the tax-payers without any consideration for the ills brought upon the citizens of another nation by the hawkish politicians in the U.S.
Same with the USSR, which is now defunct.
 
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dreng3

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Sometimes in life the only option left is the least worst option. Every dollar and life lost there was for nothing. There is really no other choice than just accept and move on. They don't call Afghanistan ''the graveyard of empires'' for nothing.
Then the that's what someone should bloody say.
"We can't win this, we're in over our heads, we're going to give X to group/person Y and then we're going to leave and let the afghan people deal with any internal struggles."

The problem is how high-minded the politicians are trying to make it seem. It isn't about protecting troops or bringing them home, it is barely even about tax-dollars. It is about being in a seemingly never-ending conflict which is unpopular.
Say the truth and don't sugarcoat it. That is the very least the U.S. could do. ohh, and grant any collaborators asylum in the U.S. along with a nice wad of cash should they want it.
 

Agema

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I'd agree if it wasn't presented as a desire to be less interventionist when really the politicians mean "we fucked up really bad and honestly have no idea of how to extricate ourselves from this in a positive manner, at this point it has a become an unwinnable war and we just don't want to deal with it because it doesn't enjoy popular support"
I suspect the main advantage of the Afghan conflict is that the USA can do extensive live weapons testing on lots of its funky new military hardware.

I think you're right though: the admission "we lost" is hard for any politician to make. For a man so sold on seeming strong and winning, Trump more than most. Bush started the mess, and so couldn't let it drop. Obama came in and bowed to military advice and tried a "surge" that failed, but at least then largely retreated the US forces to training up the Afghan military. That was at least a backing down, a partial retreat that could have been gradually extended until the USA faded away out of Afghanistan. Trump then took power and repeated the surge futility in 2017. He almost doubled US manpower, and sent them back into action in force. Of course 15,000 also failed to do what 100,000 couldn't years before. And so there the USA is now, with more personnel and firing over five times as much ordnance as it was 2016.

Let's face it, the objection amongst many to some of these wars is not that it's war, it's that the USA hasn't won. If the right president (i.e. the one they supported) offered most of these people the prospect of a straightforward war the USA could fight and come straight home, they'd be right back out there with flags, hollering and triumphal woo-hahs.
 

stroopwafel

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I suspect the main advantage of the Afghan conflict is that the USA can do extensive live weapons testing on lots of its funky new military hardware.

I think you're right though: the admission "we lost" is hard for any politician to make. For a man so sold on seeming strong and winning, Trump more than most. Bush started the mess, and so couldn't let it drop. Obama came in and bowed to military advice and tried a "surge" that failed, but at least then largely retreated the US forces to training up the Afghan military. That was at least a backing down, a partial retreat that could have been gradually extended until the USA faded away out of Afghanistan. Trump then took power and repeated the surge futility in 2017. He almost doubled US manpower, and sent them back into action in force. Of course 15,000 also failed to do what 100,000 couldn't years before. And so there the USA is now, with more personnel and firing over five times as much ordnance as it was 2016.

Let's face it, the objection amongst many to some of these wars is not that it's war, it's that the USA hasn't won. If the right president (i.e. the one they supported) offered most of these people the prospect of a straightforward war the USA could fight and come straight home, they'd be right back out there with flags, hollering and triumphal woo-hahs.
Yeah sure, it'll happen again. They didn't learn from Vietnam, it's unlikely they'll learn from Afghanistan(or Iraq for that matter). It just needs to fade from public memory a bit and then it's back to square one.

As for the Afghan military, let's be honest, without U.S. air support they are overrun by the Taliban in no time.
 

Iron

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I suspect the main advantage of the Afghan conflict is that the USA can do extensive live weapons testing on lots of its funky new military hardware.

I think you're right though: the admission "we lost" is hard for any politician to make. For a man so sold on seeming strong and winning, Trump more than most. Bush started the mess, and so couldn't let it drop. Obama came in and bowed to military advice and tried a "surge" that failed, but at least then largely retreated the US forces to training up the Afghan military. That was at least a backing down, a partial retreat that could have been gradually extended until the USA faded away out of Afghanistan. Trump then took power and repeated the surge futility in 2017. He almost doubled US manpower, and sent them back into action in force. Of course 15,000 also failed to do what 100,000 couldn't years before. And so there the USA is now, with more personnel and firing over five times as much ordnance as it was 2016.

Let's face it, the objection amongst many to some of these wars is not that it's war, it's that the USA hasn't won. If the right president (i.e. the one they supported) offered most of these people the prospect of a straightforward war the USA could fight and come straight home, they'd be right back out there with flags, hollering and triumphal woo-hahs.
live weapon's testing is mostly our job.
 

SilentPony

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I don't know much about large scale troop movements, but can you actually evacuate all military personal and equipment safely in Afghanistan in the remaining like 60 days of the Trump administration?
 

stroopwafel

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I don't know much about large scale troop movements, but can you actually evacuate all military personal and equipment safely in Afghanistan in the remaining like 60 days of the Trump administration?
Jets and other high-tech stuff they can fly back to carriers in the Arabian sea or something. Most other equipment is probably junk by now they can donate to the Afghan military. Hopefully not stingers this time around. xD
 

SilentPony

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The US military has a policy of leaving a lot of stuff behind. Anything that isn't an armored vehicle or heavier weapon is left behind, sometimes sold to allies at a discount, sometimes just abandoned to be picked up by whoever gets there first. The reason for this waste is that the cost of shipping them back stateside would be more expensive then procuring new ones. So yeah, with a serious airlifting schedule you could probably get the remaining US troops out and leave a lot of equipment for ANA to squander and embezzle.
They don't at least blow up the stuff or scrap it? They'd just leave heavy equipment to be scavenged by anyone, including foreign adversaries who know when and where they stuff will be abandoned?
 

Trunkage

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Yeah sure, it'll happen again. They didn't learn from Vietnam, it's unlikely they'll learn from Afghanistan(or Iraq for that matter). It just needs to fade from public memory a bit and then it's back to square one.

As for the Afghan military, let's be honest, without U.S. air support they are overrun by the Taliban in no time.
See the problem is that the US had so many successes with similar tactics. Indonesia, Rhodesia, most of South America etc. Even with Iraq and Afghanistan, doing incursion and invasion are VERY successful. You just gotta keep it off the TV, so the money and losses arent know.
 

Eacaraxe

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They'd just leave heavy equipment to be scavenged by anyone, including foreign adversaries who know when and where they stuff will be abandoned?
Well, yeah. We've been doing it for forty consecutive years in Afghanistan. Where do you think the mujahideen got all that US funding and equipment when they were fighting the Soviets, conjury?
 

gorfias

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But the U.S. intervened and it was done in a hamfisted manner with almost zero consideration of the consequences. The U.S. owes the people of Afghanistan an answer and probably some sort of reparations or resolution.
Wanting to pull out troops is seen as a service to the troops and the tax-payers without any consideration for the ills brought upon the citizens of another nation by the hawkish politicians in the U.S.
I thought we were there because they sheltered a terrorist and many of it's members. Bomb the heck out of them, make them fear making you come back, and leave. We didn't leave but stayed. That error should be corrected.
Why are we still there? War makes some people with a lot of influence a ton of cash. I think it was Milton Freidman said you have to figure out a way to make peace profitable to effect real change.

Tucker Carlson read on air a proposal for new legislation: "Congress shall fund no new war until it has resolved its previous wars." If only.
 
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dreng3

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I thought we were there because they sheltered a terrorist and many of it's members. Bomb the heck out of them, make them fear making you come back, and leave. We didn't leave but stayed. That error should be corrected.
Why are we still there? War makes some people with a lot of influence a ton of cash. I think it was Milton Freidman said you have to figure out a way to make peace profitable to effect real change.

Tucker Carlson read on air a proposal for new legislation: "Congress shall fund no new war until it has resolved its previous wars." If only.
If the U.S. cared about stopping terror they'd have invaded Saudi Arabia. Instead they're getting deals on drones and weapons. Terrorism was never the reason, poll numbers and oil were.

The idea that the U.S. is contributing to the halting of terrorism by overstaying in, and destabilizing, Afghanistan is stupid. I want the U.S. to leave, but the thing is, when a kid makes a mess, you have the kid fix it, that way it becomes a lesson. The U.S. has not yet recognized that intervention was a failure and that a significant number of the current problems is caused by the U.S. presence in the region.
 
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Agema

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Yeah sure, it'll happen again. They didn't learn from Vietnam, it's unlikely they'll learn from Afghanistan(or Iraq for that matter). It just needs to fade from public memory a bit and then it's back to square one.
They did learn from Vietnam: they learnt to control very carefully what the media is allowed to report in the field, and the overall narrative.

That's what all the "embedded journalists" stuff is about. The superficial rationale is keeping them safe, with the hook of a few awesome, near-frontline pictures. The deeper rationale is that the journalists' movements are controlled so they only see what the military wants them to.

I thought we were there because they sheltered a terrorist and many of it's members. Bomb the heck out of them, make them fear making you come back, and leave. We didn't leave but stayed. That error should be corrected. Why are we still there? War makes some people with a lot of influence a ton of cash. I think it was Milton Freidman said you have to figure out a way to make peace profitable to effect real change.
Broadly, peace is more profitable overall. The question is more whether the forces of peace have the right ears in the corridors of power. Although in practice Afghanistan isn't really a war in that sense. Dropping bombs all over the Afghan/Pakistani wilderness affects the USA economy barely at all, and it's not like the military isn't short of money.

Tucker Carlson read on air a proposal for new legislation: "Congress shall fund no new war until it has resolved its previous wars." If only.
Well, I appreciate the sentiment, but obviously a country can hardly put itself in a position where it can't defend something important because it is already fighting somewhere. Imagine if that law got passed tomorrow and Russia promptly invaded the USA, and the USA lost because it wasn't allowed to pay for its own defence.
 
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gorfias

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If the U.S. cared about stopping terror they'd have invaded Saudi Arabia. Instead they're getting deals on drones and weapons. Terrorism was never the reason, poll numbers and oil were.

The idea that the U.S. is contributing to the halting of terrorism by overstaying in, and destabilizing, Afghanistan is stupid. I want the U.S. to leave, but the thing is, when a kid makes a mess, you have the kid fix it, that way it becomes a lesson. The U.S. has not yet recognized that intervention was a failure and that a significant number of the current problems is caused by the U.S. presence in the region.
No excuse for our relationship with the Sauds. They are the source of many of the world's problems, including 911. But I think today, the US cares less about oil for themselves than controlling who has it and what they do with it.
As for Afghanistan, I'd think them far better off today than when we showed up. The problem is, I'd think there are enough powerful people and forces there that miss the shit hole they had been, and when the US leaves, they will quickly turn it into a shit hole again. But that can happen sooner, or, after more wasted blood and treasure, later. I vote sooner.

EDIT


Per capita income has about tripled. But I read of stories pre-US of women literally being shot at for being outside the home un escorted. I imagine that isn't the case now but again, there are those that want this... and they will bring it back after we leave.

Broadly, peace is more profitable overall. The question is more whether the forces of peace have the right ears in the corridors of power. Although in practice Afghanistan isn't really a war in that sense. Dropping bombs all over the Afghan/Pakistani wilderness affects the USA economy barely at all, and it's not like the military isn't short of money.
I can buy that, but it I'd think war focuses wealth in pockets that will seek influence. And it works. Heck, I think that we'd be better off without war. Right now, drop a bomb, someone makes money building another. But it is like the broken window fallacy. Break a window, someone has to repair it. But your society isn't wealthier. You just had to do some work to fix a window.
 
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