A peek at the truth: Violence in the UK vs violence in the US.

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manaman

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This will be the first a series of commonly misunderstood stances. This issue focuses on the view that the US is a violent place, by comparing it with another country commonly seen as a relatively stable and safe country.

Discounting murders (because of the historically low murder rates in the UK this figure would distort these statistics I am going to present).

The US has a total violent crime rate of 463, the UK has a violent crime rate of 2,300 these are per 100,000 people. However this rate is disputed as the violent crimes reported where during this time frame (2007 for both countries, as this is the last year with solid figures in all areas for both population and crimes in both countries, some estimation is done in other years) was 2,420,000. Since the population of the UK was some 60,609,153 this actually gives a rate of 3992.8. Going by the EU figures (with no indication provided for crimes and figures where added into the rate and which where left out) we have a violent crime rate of 2,034.

The most violent place in the US, Washington D.C., had a decades old ban on firearms. Still even with a rate twice the national average they had less then half the reported rate in the UK. For the sake of accuracy I will state that D.C. also had one of the worst murder rates in the world at the time.

The murder rate:

US - 0.042802 per 1,000 people, UK: 0.0140633 per 1,000 people (global average is .1)

Which translates to:

US - 16,204, UK - roughly 1,000 total murders. Figures released by the UK government are notoriously inaccurate, and usually only list total homicides (1,645), and rarely release any kind of break down, even as simple as which deaths where, negligent, and murder. However good estimated figures exist for which crimes where in fact murders and hover around 1,000-1,200)

Arguments, where you can possibly say that having a gun around possibly contributed to the escalation to murder accounted for only 3,645 murders in the US. However only some 1,200 of those where committed with a firearm, in crimes of passion people use whatever is handy, which is not a gun as often as you might think. While most murders (10,000 of them) where committed with a firearm. Gangland killings accounted for 77 murders, arguments over property (and committed during a robbery) accounted for 282 murders. It's far more likely that you are going to be the target of murder in this country then the victim of a botched robbery, a gang murder or even a brawl escalated into murder.

In total escalated violence, and accounted for a little over half the murders in the US. The rest where crimes of passion, and premeditated murder.

Private statistics from the country show that armed robbery with handguns has risen 40% since 1997, and that overall some 10% of murders in the UK are committed with guns. The murder rate has also drastically increased in the country since 1954 by nearly 70%. Violent crime risen as well. Inner city areas account for most of this increase where rates have nearly doubled (91% increase). A drastic increase in gun violence in a country that is held as the gold standard of gun control.

All of this is irrelevant because the initial gun laws had little to do with protecting individuals as they did with protecting society in the UK. Labor disruption lead to fears of Bolshevik revolt lead to the first major gun bans in the 20s. Unfounded or not the government felt it needed to remove guns from the hands of individuals to protect society as a whole. This reversal of centuries of common law is evident more now then ever before in the country. Where the country has laws making defending yourself on an individual level a risky proposition, let alone defending another. The country has sacrificed individual liberties for social security, and figures stacking up seem to show that it's not working. You cannot take a good long look at the social changes that account for the massive increase in violence in the country since the 1960s without a look at the policies that enabled them including gun control. However I would like to state that gun control is irrelevant to this argument. The gun laws came about because of the social changes that lead to more violence and did not cause them.

When I mention a historically low murder rate in the UK I mean it. As long as they have been tracking murder rates (since around 1700) the UK has fluctuated around 1.0 murders per 100,000 people. Up to the 1960s the UK rate was stable around 1.0, since 1960 it has risen nearly a 50% increase to 1.4. The increase in crime cannot be attributed to a lack of funding for police as the police presence has risen out of proportion with the crime rates since the 1960s as well and from a rate of 15 per 1,000 people to a rate of 110.9 per 1,000, dipping slightly after the 90s to a rate of 92 per 1,000 (For England and wales, only accurate figures by the governments where unavailable for Scotland and Northern Ireland, but are estimated to be higher). That is a six fold increase in police presence.

The rape dispute:

I would like to take a moment to also contend that while rape convictions in the US remain higher then the UK, the UK has taken to dismissing many more minor rape charges (such as minors and taking advantage of an inebriated individuals).

Reporting in rape cases has always remained low, but it seems that the lack of punishment for these specific rape cases has lead reporting to sink even lower. The US remains a reporting rate of about 30 per 100,000 while the UK has a rate of 22. In other words reported rapes are lower in the UK. However a vetted survey that includes research presented by BBC 1 in the UK that showed there where an estimated 85,000 cases that would have qualified as rape under US laws occurred in 2006, but only 800 convictions for rape, figures show that 13,000 rape cases where reported in the UK during the same time frame, meaning only roughly 16% of rapes are reported in the UK, while in the US 41% of rapes are reported.

Not all together surprising when an estimated 1% of rapists are actually punished for their crime.

While the figures may be prone to some over reporting, as they indicate some 1 out every every 230 women in the UK was raped in 2006. That would still pale in comparison to South Africa where one out every three women in a sample of 4,000 surveyed where rapped in the same year.

The US has a reporting rating of roughly 40% for rapes, 47% of those involved alcohol or where date rapes. While the US has seen a sharp decline in rapes since 1980 (roughly 80%) it is likely the majority of this is lack of reporting as what constitutes rape has changed. Not as many women report incidents where things escalated while alcohol was involved.

The US probably leads crime statistics only in homicides, with rape a contested category. Even using only figures provided by the government in the UK the rates of all crimes aside from Rape and homicide are higher in the UK, with most being four times as high. However with the falling homicide rate in the US (at the end of the 80s the rate stood at 7, and is currently 5.4, most notably the areas with the highest rates across the country are falling drastically) and the rising rate in the UK it may only be a matter of time before the rates are comparable.

Both countries suffered a rise in violence from the early to mid century, however this rise started to reverse in the 80s in the US while it escalated in the UK.

How it compares with some other countries:

Germany has seen an increase in violent crime lagging behind the rest of the world starting in the 80s. The full extent of this increase cannot be judged yet. Germany remains a relatively safe place to live. Canada has roughly twice the violent crime rate of the US. Only Australia seem to be immune to the social woes plaguing modern developed countries, with some of the lowest crime statistics in the developed world outside ignoring minor countries with small populations that skew results.

I should have at some point several other in depth looks into some popular misconceptions people have. Should you yourself know any, or wish to suggest any feel free to!

The second, as suggested by Pete, the Ground Zero mosque. [http://www.escapistmagazine.com/forums/read/528.236359-A-peek-at-the-truth-Why-does-an-argument-against-the-Ground-Zero-mosque-even-exist]

Dispute, discuss or tell stories, whatever you people want, as long as it is relatively on topic. And if you read the entire lengthy post, thanks.
 

Pimppeter2

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This is excellent. And I look forward to all future installments.

One thing that must be said However. It would be nice to see this backed with some sources or links. Personally, I trust you because I know you. But that can't be said for others. And its a shame if this effects their decision to listen.
 

manaman

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Pimppeter2 said:
This is excellent. And I look forward to all future installments.

One thing that must be said However. It would be nice to see this backed with some sources or links. Personally, I trust you because I know you. But that can't be said for others. And its a shame if this effects their decision to listen.
Good idea. In the future I will be noting sources of information as I gather them. Possibly even stick to APA guidelines for references.

I plan to do better segmenting the text into more manageable chucks under subtopics.
 

Amethyst Wind

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I'm wondering what the reasoning behind this topic was.

Not what you were trying to get across, that the US is not the pit of human depravity it is depicted as by the rest of the world, but rather why you made this topic to try to convince people otherwise.
 

Souplex

Souplex Killsplosion Awesomegasm
Jul 29, 2008
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Guns are to killing what those scooters you sometimes see fat people on are to walking.
I've seen statistics that pretty much say the exact opposite, so I just ignore statistics.
That said, I live in a place without guns, and we don't have crime either so there's always that.
 

manaman

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Souplex said:
Guns are to killing what those scooters you sometimes see fat people on are to walking.
I've seen statistics that pretty much say the exact opposite, so I just ignore statistics.
That said, I live in a place without guns, and we don't have crime either so there's always that.
You live in New York City one of the better metro areas to be sure, but you are right there at the national average for violent crime. Your statement is useless to the discussion because other metro areas without the gun restrictions are doing better if not far exceeding New Yorks rates.

In other words gun ownership are irrelevant to these statistics.

Amethyst Wind said:
I'm wondering what the reasoning behind this topic was.

Not what you were trying to get across, that the US is not the pit of human depravity it is depicted as by the rest of the world, but rather why you made this topic to try to convince people otherwise.
Because it is a commonly held belief used in arguments. One I have been hearing recently. I have been for about a month or two been debating starting a series where I shed a little light on the truths behind some of these false ideas held as common beliefs.
 

The Long Road

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I notice a lot of people are concentrating on the "gun ownership" part of this rather well-written post. The statistics on gun control seem to be self-contradictory. While crimes committed with firearms has been shown to increase in areas with gun control laws implemented, total firearm violence decreases. What is included in 'total' violence includes incidences of self-defense, accidents, illegal discharges, and other situations where the intent was not to commit a crime. Though it seems odd, gun control laws and firearm incidences have little direct correlation. All that changes is the type of incident.

What I'd like to see is a breakdown of various crimes by location committed. I'm not sure how to word it, but what I mean is I'd like to see what kind and percentage of crimes were committed in large cities, small cities, suburbs, and rural areas. I think that would be more revealing than blanket countrywide stats, as US analogs for similar areas in the UK are actually markedly different. Not to rag on the OP, because it was excellently written, just wondering out loud.
 

xDarc

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This, boys and girls, is a "thread." Asking a silly hypothetical question, encouraging a procession of folks to leave their one-line answers, is not "discussion value." While I'm not going to debate in this thread, I do want to say that this is a very interesting read and a great write up by manaman.
 

Johnnyallstar

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I think it was a good thread, but I'll give it an 89% because you brought some very good facts, which you said you will soon back up by links, but the biggest problem is you seem to lack a cohesive conclusion of your opinion and direction. Well written, but unfinished.

And I'll refer to Heinlein on this issue. "An armed society is a polite society."
 

manaman

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The Long Road said:
What I'd like to see is a breakdown of various crimes by location committed. I'm not sure how to word it, but what I mean is I'd like to see what kind and percentage of crimes were committed in large cities, small cities, suburbs, and rural areas. I think that would be more revealing than blanket countrywide stats, as US analogs for similar areas in the UK are actually markedly different. Not to rag on the OP, because it was excellently written, just wondering out loud.
Thanks I started to break it down but the US is to large. Cultural influences see dramatic differences in various states. New York City for instance has a low rate of vehicle theft, robbery, and related non violent crimes. While the Puget Sound region across the country has lower rates of murder, lower rates of most violent crimes (aggravated assault, and armed robbery being higher) and lower rates of rape. Both areas compare with the national average overall however on total crimes. It usually depends on which topics are hot button issues in the local area and that has more to do with the what the people in the area see as a problem.

Inner city areas across the US tend to have the highest crime rates regardless of the city, while some areas efforts (New York sate as an example again) have made great strides to improve the lives of the poorest people, and this is reflected in the crime statistics to a major degree. When the poorest people have more they are less likely to resort to crime.

I edited out a lot of the social pressures that contribute to crime as well in each country. The US is a far more capitalistic society, with a much greater attachment of personal worth with personal wealth. Programs that help sway children of a life of crime, programs to promote education as an easy means of enriching lives, and raise the poorest people above or to poverty levels in the US have a great effect on crime, while there is less of an effect for the same programs in the UK.

It was getting far to long to be a suitable read for a forum. I decided to stick to the important points and judge country wide rates. As for urbanized area, and the possibility of more rural living in the US. 83.9% of the US lives in urbanized areas, while 90% in the UK lives in urban areas. I felt those figures where close enough to ignore for the sake of length. The population in the US focuses around dense urban areas. In Washington my home state there are 6.2 million people living in the state, 4 million of which live in the Seattle-Tacoma-Everett area. A series of dense urban centers spotted with suburban centers between. Most of the country lives in ares like these.
 

AfterAscon

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Nov 29, 2007
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The major issue I have with any type of post which purports to giving a fair comparison tends to disregard how crime is recorded is various countries. The best place I could find was Wikipedia for this, which did have a reference, albeit with a dead link. This claims that the UK includes a range of other crimes which are excluded from the US violent crime rate. This is also evident in the links below (1 and 2), where the US has a range of other crime rates which are seemingly kept apart from the magical 469.2 you give at the start but are included in the UK. I won't pretend to know how these various statistics are actually recorded, but I know they're not comparable, which is why I tend to find these arguments pointless.

I know the UK is exactly the safest of places, but I imagine our statistics on violent crime is skewed heavily by our drinking habits on the weekend. We're some of the worst in the Europe in regards to binge drinking, and we have entire police shows (like cops) dedicated to following police and the shit they deal with on Friday and Saturday nights. It's just part of our culture, but it is also easily avoidable. 24hr drinking, it just isn't long enough!

Also, leaving out the murder rate from the violent crime statistic is counter-productive to your argument. Murder is a violent crime, even if it distorts your argument, by leaving it out it just distorts the statistics in a different direction.

References from brackets in text. I can't be bothered to properly format.
(1) http://www.fbi.gov/ucr/05cius/data/table_01.html
(2) http://rds.homeoffice.gov.uk/rds/pdfs06/hosb1206chap78.pdf
I noticed how you copied the intro from here as well: http://wheelgun.blogspot.com/2007/01/crime-in-uk-versus-crime-in-us.html
 

Continuity

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Meh, last time I looked at the figures there was more gun crime in NYC than the whole UK.
 

Koeryn

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Interesting and pretty well written, I look forward to further installments, though I have nothing to add my self.
 

VampiresDontSparkle

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Woot! Go Australia!

>.>

Ahem, now that that's done with... Very interesting read, although I don't know why you discount murder statistics. Surely they're just as, if not more, important as the others?
 

manaman

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AfterAscon said:
The major issue I have with any type of post which purports to giving a fair comparison tends to disregard how crime is recorded is various countries. The best place I could find was Wikipedia for this, which did have a reference, albeit with a dead link. This claims that the UK includes a range of other crimes which are excluded from the US violent crime rate. This is also evident in the links below (1 and 2), where the US has a range of other crime rates which are seemingly kept apart from the magical 469.2 you give at the start but are included in the UK. I won't pretend to know how these various statistics are actually recorded, but I know they're not comparable, which is why I tend to find these arguments pointless.

I know the UK is exactly the safest of places, but I imagine our statistics on violent crime is skewed heavily by our drinking habits on the weekend. We're some of the worst in the Europe in regards to binge drinking, and we have entire police shows (like cops) dedicated to following police and the shit they deal with on Friday and Saturday nights. It's just part of our culture, but it is also easily avoidable. 24hr drinking, it just isn't long enough!

Also, leaving out the murder rate from the violent crime statistic is counter-productive to your argument. Murder is a violent crime, even if it distorts your argument, by leaving it out it just distorts the statistics in a different direction.

References from brackets in text. I can't be bothered to properly format.
(1) http://www.fbi.gov/ucr/05cius/data/table_01.html
(2) http://rds.homeoffice.gov.uk/rds/pdfs06/hosb1206chap78.pdf
I noticed how you copied the intro from here as well: http://wheelgun.blogspot.com/2007/01/crime-in-uk-versus-crime-in-us.html
Which is why I gave the differing rates. Even comparing the EU given violent crime rate of 2035, which is the same across member states of the EU, the UK is a far more violent place to live then the rest of Europe.

I did an in depth look at what makes up the statistics, the US and UK use similar reporting for violent crimes. Aggravated assault, battery, domestic violence, armed robbery, you name it they both count it. Pretty much the only major reporting difference was that the UK counts an affray as a violent crime, you know what an affray is, but a for those in the US it is an altercation that threatens unlawful violence. While across most of the US that is not a violent crime unless those threats are carried out, or an attempt it made to carry them out. However what information I could find on reporting statistics, and arrests showed this to only be a negligible increase, and in no way can account for the four fold increase over the US rate.

The Home office statistics show crime rates overall reduced, and that the chances of a person becoming a victim of any crime supposedly feel by 9% in 2009, to a total of 22%, but only the home office makes this claim, and the EU rates show the chance of becoming a victim of violence in the UK at a staggering (and frankly unbelievable) 70%. This was another problem the led to me sticking with the 2006/2007 rates an mostly ignoring the 2009 study by the home office. I really hate to accuse the UK goverment of cherry picking for results, but the goverment cannot even seem to agree with itself as far as crime rates are concerned after 2006.

Even giving the lesser reporting weight, do you really want me to believe that the crimes the US just isn't counting account for the rate being only 22% of the UK rate, and that is the lower rate given by the EU.

I am sorry, but there is to much of a gap between violence in the US and UK to spin it away as a numbers game.

To answer your last point, murders can safely be ignored when looking at total violence because it would add 1.4 to the 2035 violent crime rate for the UK and would add 5.4 to the 463 rate of the US.

Continuity said:
Meh, last time I looked at the figures there was more gun crime in NYC than the whole UK.
Gun crime is crime committed while being in possession of a firearm. It's a sub statistic of the total rates, and not one that is important to the discussion. The mugging was a mugging done with a knife, bat, gun, turtle, five buddies, or a stranglehold.
 

bjj hero

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Honestly? I put this down to culture. The Brits love to fight, we settle things with our fists. I've seen a massive shift in the way things work. With CCTV, current recording practices etc. I would have had an ASBO if I was growing up now. As a child and a teenager I would fight, break things, hang around in large groups causing mischief etc. I'd have a criminal record if I did that today. Today, if a teenager steals the milk from your doorstep or climbs over your fence you call the police. Years ago, if you didn't chastise the toe rag yourself you'd get his parents to do it and the police would not be involved.

Once upon a time you would go out "up town", get drunk, maybe have a fight with the bouncers. If you won you would come back next Friday and everything is good. If you lost you lay low for a couple of weeks then come back, no harm done. Now you will be seen on CCTV, go through the courts, maybe do some jail, get a criminal record and be banned from all of the drinking etablishments in town.

The last labour government was keen to criminalise everything. They added thousands of new offences and were keen to use the legal system to combat everything. They would not leave the criminal justice act alone, constantly changing it and adding to it.

So what happened to this hell raiser? I was good in school, all the teachers said I was polite and smart, I got to adulthood without a criminal record and now have a good job in criminal justice.

I don't feel that England is anymore dangerous than it used to be. The media just latches onto every incident. Knife crime? Gangs? Teddy boys, mods and rockers all used to hang out as gangs and carry weapons. Unfortunately, as is the way of things, the older generation is always scared of the younger. Believing that morals are dying out and that the end of society is around the corner.

In my work I hve seen firearms offences go up. Having said that a lot of people who seem to get shot are "bad guys" who I would ague probably had it coming. Drug dealers feel threatened, get a gun for protection, so when someone comes to hurt them they have to use a gun. Gangs, shoot at other gangs. The average person in the UK will only ever see fire arms on the TV. Also a lot of our recorded firearms offences involve the use of a replica weapon or an air rifle, which are treated just as seriously.

A lot of this is anecdotal, from my experience, so feel free to disagree.
 

SimuLord

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Good Writing on the Escapist: It's not just for staff and magazine freelancers! We've got some brilliant writers on the forums, and Manaman, you're well on your way to joining those ranks.
 

The Cheezy One

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Dec 13, 2008
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tl;d- kidding!
this is really interesting. proof that UK isnt just full of Beatles posh londoners and george stephenson. although i am a posh londoner. and i live about 15 minutes away from george stephensons house.

about the rape charges:
Labour understood that the conviction rate for england is the lowest in the world, so were conducting an review into the handling rape charges. cameron comes in, and the tories burn anything relating to the previous leadership - including this investigation. the excuse is to save money.

money saved: £441,000
camerons salary: £142,500
His wifes salary: £400,000 (she runs some place in london called smythson)