coldalarm said:
I'm going to go out on a limb and put forward the idea that I don't think the balance will change for a while.
Games are getting bigger at a fast rate, but internet connections aren't improving that much, or at least not at a comparable rate. Maybe when the infrastructure in the EU and the US improves (at least) then we'll see a much bigger uptake of Digital Distribution, but for now I can't see it happening.
That's especially true with Sony, who have pretty much said their Blu-ray-sized games are a barrier to effective digital distribution on current networks (July article [http://www.escapistmagazine.com/news/view/92990-Sony-Not-Interested-In-Digital-Distribution-For-PS3-Games]; I think there was a more recent quote, too, but I'm not able to find it now).
I also blogged on it way back when, when I first installed Halo 2 on my 360. I have the Multiplayer Map Pack disc, which has all maps but the last pack they released. It took me less time to reboot and install the three or four map packs I had on the disc, than it took me to download and install the
one remaining map pack from Xbox Live.
I'm curious how well the "Games on Demand" service has been selling, considering the prices tend to be more than you can get the games retail, the limited-sized/overpriced hard drives, and the time to download even a standard DVD's-worth of bits.