Timmibal said:
Zachary Amaranth said:
With Download caps and bandwidth limitations becoming the norm, I'd say the odds are against no physical media unless something radical changes.
I'm guessing you're from America? Download caps are something that we aussies have had to deal with from day dot. One point I will begrugingly give our telcos, they do have pretty good competition which means that high-end caps and unlimited plans are getting cheaper. In 5 years I do expect most data to be direct download, even here in the technologically retarded shadow of the labour gubbmint.
As far as download throttling goes, do you REALLY think that MS is not going to have itself on the 'open the goddamn floodgates' list for every ISP in the world?
Competition would be awesome. We have an effective duopoly in the States, with Comcast and Time Warner owning more than half (almost two thirds) of the market between them. What's happening here is we're getting charged more and getting stingier download caps. Given that we're one of the big consumer markets, a DD system is a poor idea.
Download throttling, as you put it, wasn't my concern. What was my concern was the tendency to have really low transfer speeds for the price. Australia's in a similar boat, bu our price is going up while service is effectively going down. Microsoft is not getting around that.
We also recently had a report posted right here on the Escapist dealing with how gaming was being treated as a tertiary concern. That's unlikely to change in five years.
For DD to become a a standard in the US, pretty much every paradigm will have to shift. And that's unlikely, when the majority ISPs and many of their smaller brethren are pushing in the opposite direction.
Will Microsoft go DD only? Well, it'd work in Japan, but Japan's a pretty poor marketplace for Microsoft. Europe still has a lot of territory with high costs and low saturation related to broadband. America's moving backward. Australia's gonna carry all that weight?
No.
Things might change in five years, but we're talking radical shifts needed. I wouldn't exactly hold my breath. I understand how you might want it to be otherwise, but wanting it to be so is hardly going to make it so.