pulse2 said:
I think most people aspire to have kids at some point in our life, but as innocent an aspiration it may be, its having a detrimental impact on the Earth and our living standards. Whether we like it or not, we are having more babies then dying, all the while trying to find ways to live longer, to have more kids...who is feeding all those children? I suppose our generation doesn't need to care that much because it isn't effecting us, but what about our grandchildren? We as the human race have destroyed quite a bit of what keeps us living, so I'm led to wonder at which point we will get so desperate to live that even the remainder of that is destroyed as well.
Anywho, how do you think we could go about resolving this issue and if your government initiated a single child policy tomorrow for example, would it bother you at all?
You are wrong. Demographically, humanity is dying faster than it is being replaced. In order to keep the population equal, not even bothering about expanding, but just equal, a couple has to have 2.13 children to replace them, known as Replacement Fertility, (2.13 because of child deaths). Any less than 2.13 decreases the population long term, any more increases it. 44% of the world is below Replacement Fertility. Birthrates have declined 50% since 1979.
The effects of this won't be immediately seen, but it will probably be seen first in Europe and Russian, since their birth rate is only 1.3 and 1.17 respectively. No European country reaches 2.1. Most developing nations are fine, and the USA is okay due to immigration.
Fewer people means fewer workers, less people to grow food and maintain what is already present. Global population of 2010 is 6.8 billion, with the working population* being about 63% of that, (4.2 billion). I don't know if you have ever farmed, but one person has much trouble maintaining the 1.8 acre global average, particularly if you have no machinery, which the majority of the world really doesn't. This number doesn't include people who don't go into food production. If you take that into account, the numbers look even worse, considering only 2% of the US population, (darn it's hard getting global numbers), works in the actual farm production industry, (not counting livestock because these numbers are bloody hard to find from a reputable source). Any fewer people and we won't have to worry about less food so much as not enough people to produce food in the first place. As said, we have plenty of land, just not enough people who will actually work it.
Maybe what we need is a shift of career choices. Fewer and fewer people are going into agricultural and agronomy. As another person said, it's not so much the production as the distribution. This is the problem Ethiopia has.
Given soil capability, the following is true. Ethiopia can feed all of Africa. The Ukraine can feed all of Europe, (why the Germans took all of their dirt). China can feed all of Russia and the Orient; India can practically do this too. The USA can feed all of North America. Argentina can feed all of South America and Australia. The capability is there. We are woefully inefficient, however.
Have you heard of how many schools in Europe are closing because there are no children? In Hungary, only 1 in 200 schools are still open. Teachers wonder why their wages are cut and schools close. No children. One-child policies, forced sterilization (Peru), divorce, cohabitation, abortions, all of this leads to a birthrate far below Replacement Fertility.
*Working age being defined as 15-64 years.
For the record, if the USA enforced a one-child-policy, that may be the one thing that would make me leave. Regulation helps nothing. The tighter the grip the government has, the worse things get. That is a historical fact.
I heard about this one conversation a man had with a woman on the radio. They were talking about farmer's subsidies and income. The woman called in and said, "We don't need more farmers subsidies." This after the man explained how difficult it was to make any profit farming. "How are you going to get your food if there are no farmers?" The man asked. Smugly, the woman replied. "I'll go down to HEB like everyone else."
It's that kind of ignorance and stupidity that has led to this problem. No one knows what goes into food anymore we've become so estranged from it and instead depend on the government like turkeys staring at the raining sky.