But I think things are beginning to slip.
AR15 style rifles are hugely popular with the civilian market both in the US and to a lesser extent globally, so companies like Colt are no longer utterly dependant on long-term government contracts for a steady revenue stream. They can just sell more to civilians, police and so on.
In fact the AR15 is probably far more suited as a civilian rifle than military one:
-sensitivity to dirt/dust, not such a problem in peacetime
-overheating on full auto fire, but even police tend to use only semi-auto versions.
-cartridge ineffective terminal-ballistics beyond 100m UNLESS hollow-points are used, that are generally illegal to use in the military
-Light-weight and light-recoil far more suited to the generally weaker and less fit civilian population
-poor hard-barrier penetration, a negative for military who encounter many "dug-in" enemies but boon for more liable conscious police
It's quite clear that police would benefit from being armed with rifles like these, the standard-issue pump-shotgun truly has become obsolete; it does not have adequate range, the recoil is too high, the penetration too low, the capacity too small and not to mention how police have to account for every shot, how do they account for every pellet of buckshot?
Colt needs to DIVERSIFY and target law-enforcement.
But what kind of rifle does the military need?
7.62x39mm is good, recoil is reasonable but bullet is a bit too slow and heavy, but has to be for enough sectional density.
What all the pundits seems to be clamouring over is a 100grain 6.5mm round fired at around 2800fps.
-excellent ballistic performance, much like 7.62x51mm
-recoil like AK47 round = controllable on full auto
-fragmenting in target (for maximum damage) right out to 300m, single-shot kills to torso are a reality
-nice big temporary cavity, high likelihood of one-shot-stop*
-good barrier penetration, no more insurgents using cinder-blocks and mud walls for cover
The problem with this calibre is it really needs something like a 22 inch barrel to make the performance gains. THIS is where bullpups need to come in, a new cartridge, a new rifle to make best use of its balance between recoil and performance.
But I know americans never like to compromise, they do not like how with bullpups you can only fire from the right shoulder. That means this new weapons must:
-eject forward,
-eject to to bottom, or
-don't eject at all!
That's the recent innovation with LSAT and likely America won't advance to a new rifle till this technology is either matured or they have exhausted all possibilities of practicality. It has a lot of potential for how short this new telescoped ammunition is could mean very unique loading mechanisms. Who knows.
In the mean time the US military is using the M4 Carbine very well in close quarters, leaning heavily on Light-Machine Guns like the M249 for squad-level suppressive fire and aren't afraid to issue heavy 7.62x51mm battle rifles in the mountains of Afghanistan where the range is appreciated but still there is a huge desire for a single weapon that can do it all:
-suppressive fire (durable)
-long range killer (powerful)
-Close quarters (short and light)
-cover-busting (heavy bullet)
*temporary cavity is from rifle wounds is when the bullet is slowed down very quickly because resistance is greatly increased such as from a hollow-point round mushrooming open, a long bullet "yawing" (turning sideways) or even shattering into dozens of fragments. This increased resistance causes all the kinetic energy of the bullet to be deposited very quickly and in flesh that means violently pushing the flesh away from the path of the bullet, like slapping your hand down hard onto water creating a wave.
This temporary cavity is not strong enough to intrinsically damage tissue, it is like a violent punch, it will however tear some fragile organs like the liver or spleen. It seems to have its most potent effect when the bullet passes near the spine and the temporary cavity intersects the sensitive spinal nerve.
The theory is this gives the nerve such a jolt it causes temporary paralysis, this explains many soldiers' and hunters' experience shooting humans and animals with high power rifles how when shot they drop as if they instantly loss all muscle tone. This seems to be the mechanism of the much coveted "one shot stop" from a hit to the torso, the temporary cavity of a high-power rifle round like the 7.62x51mm is as large as a volleyball!