MovieBob said:
HyenaThePirate said:
But to the average movie going audience that just enjoys special effects? This movie is raking in the CASH. Massive, massive amounts of it.
It's actually
not, though.
Warner Bros. cops to spending about $200 Million making "Green Lantern" initially, and since studio math is ALWAYS a lowball estimate when talking about cost it's a given that the "real" number was up around $250 Million or above. And that's not counting the marketing materials, which are up around $100 Million just on their own. When all is said and done, it's safe to project that this thing cost between $400 Million and $500 Million altogether to make, market and distribute.
"Old math" used to say that a movie had to make three times what it cost to be considered a financial success; and while that's no longer a "hard" figure it doesn't change the fact that "Lantern" needs to do "Avatar"-level business in order to just break even... and that isn't happening.
The numbers are in, and it did about $52-54 Million, and the size of audience actually SHRANK by about a quarter between just Friday and Saturday. If you're Warner Bros, those are DISASTEROUS numbers - those are "tons of people are getting fired over this" numbers. (By comparison, "Thor" did about $25 Million MORE it's first weekend and cost significantly less to make.) What's more, most of this money is coming from the inflated prices for 3D theaters, and next week they'll be losing most of those screens to the 3D prints of "Cars 2." Even POPULAR movies tend to drop by about 50-60% in their second week - and this will be lucky to "only" drop that low. It's done for. Kaput. They'll SAY otherwise for about a year, as it'll take that long for everyone to get out of their multi-film contracts, but this franchise is toast.
I see your point, MB, and I don't mean to be argumentative for the sake of...
BUT..
Do you honestly think this movie isn't going to make $200 million or more back over the rest of the summer? I mean, sure it probably won't be the big opening weekend seller, but to me it's kind of a slower burner, especially since with the exception of Transformers in a few weeks, I can't think of anything else between now and then that people will want to see. Cars 2? People WILL eventually get out to see GL, and it WILL make its money back, I'd almost wager my Guy Gardner custom made real leather Jacket signed by John Broome on it.
Furthermore, now that you've got the 'first' out of the way, GL is a far more lucrative property with a TON of sequel potential. Hell, if we're lucky a tv series spin off could really be done if they really wanted to. Thor? I don't see many Thor sequels that can come out of that property. It generated some buzz, was a curiosity, but been there, done that, GL is much much more recognizable and marketable.
There were CHILDREN... in the THEATER raising their little glowing GL rings towards the screen during almost every fight scene (I on the other hand was trying to figure out the best way to destroy mine utilizing a weapon powered by the energy released from the massive fissures being created in my broken, GL-loving heart).
That's just the thing. You're talking Father's day weekend, off end of a payday, I don't know, there's a dozen reasons why the movie didn't take off on opening weekend, but no reason why it won't make big fat fistfuls of the REAL "green" WB wants.
All I know is, I hate movies like this and I am resentful that people will still ignore all warning (including their own) and go support a cinematic donkey punch like this film. I mean, Okay, it wasn't THAT horrible of a film: IF... IF it had been a MINI-SERIES on SyFy channel. THEN it would have been rather acceptable. The fact that this movie was treated like a respectable big, budget summer flick up there in the ranks of Return of the Jedi and Titanic makes me sick.
But then again, I know tons of people who walked out of Transformers HATING it.. REVILING it.. sickened by it, even. Isn't stopping the sequel from coming.
On another note, Ryan Reynolds has used up all his "comic book" hero capital with me. Hannibal King? Okay maybe that was the director's fault? Gave him too many comedy lines, and they had some problems with the script okay, I get it. Deadpool? Okay, he didn't design the character, but dammit he should have spoken up and said "Um... guys have you read the source material? This is NOT how this should be." And to the people who keep saying he should go back and play Deadpool, kindly go and put your heads through a windshield. I'd rather Donald Glover have a crack at that (since he was woefully overlooked for Spiderman since too many people in our so-called modern day society still seem to have issues with a "black" character in a white role). And now Green Lantern. I'm sorry but at some point an actor has to take responsibility. He has to say, "Screw this, I'm walking away from this project. I won't let you piss all over the fans."
Anyway, that's my rant. And I'll readily admit that MovieBob has probably forgotten more about how the film industry works (especially in regards to production, funding, etc.) than I'll ever even think to ask about, but I just have a feeling that I'm right, the movie will make upwards of $300 million worldwide over the next few weeks or so, and a sequel will get "Greenlit" (no pun intended).
It'll suck, but I'm confident it WILL happen.