BoosterGold said:
I'm more concerned about the waging war thing, not that Libya wasn't doing a good job of that already
I dunno, there's (a little) more to attacking Gaddafi than just oil.
Whether he survives this round of Oil wars or not, there are a lot of people in both the UK and America who have been waiting for a chance to drop a bunker buster on his (specifically
his) head for 22-ish years.
Even if they don't get the chance this time around I'm sure they will get the chance sooner or later. It may not be the noblest of causes but revenge is a powerful motivator.
As for the practicalities of it.
Libya has outdated, poorly disciplined and poorly equipped air and ground forces. they'll do it the same way they did Iraq both times, fly in at medium level, drop guided munitions, fly out again. Barring aircraft malfunctions or somebody screwing up their job, the chances of Libyans shooting anything down are slim.
For comparison, during the first Gulf War the Iraqis managed to shoot down 44 aircraft out of over
100'000 sorties flown. That was with better equipment and training than Libya has now, against Nato aircraft and tactics from twenty years ago. There probably will be some losses, but as a percentage of forces it will be near zero. The civilians on the ground will suffer most.
For the politics, British forces have been commited somewhere nearly everyday of the last sixty years, at the risk of sounding incredibly cynical it's the same shit different targets.