Brotherofwill said:
GT has a better shot in my opinion, I just have a feeling. It will undoubtably sell more than GoW3.
Due to the nature of simulation games, GT5 will be compared very closely to the competition - it can't win by being "good enough" nor can it win by being "different". It has to be the best - both to beginners, meaning a low barrier of entry, and the veterans - or it won't grab the very highest scores. On both fronts it must tie or surpass Forza. GT4 already sank below 90, so the GT badge is not an automatic huge metascore. In the same way I think Bad Company 2 will be rigorously compared to Modern Warfare. Both of these games need a large checklist to be filled and a slip-up somewhere along that list can cause a sub 90 score. It's really easy to badly fuck up multiplayer, in particular.
GoW I believe to be more of a wild card. Its success hangs on nebulous crowd-think and market situation. Omissions won't drop it below 90 - there is nothing in particular it must have - and neither will small flaws. It might have trouble being fresh enough at this point, with two previous installments of its own, me-toos like Dante's Inferno trying to outdo it in hype and edginess, and superior (but not geared for Metacritic) games like Bayonetta demonstrating what it lacks.
It's interesting to see what happens!