Skyrim, definitely. I am (cautiously) looking forward to ME3, but I'm a bit wary of Bioware since DA2 (and some of the changes in ME2). I generally like their stories and characters, but if Bethesda's Radiant Story stuff works as advertised, it's gonna be a huge step forward in open world environments.
There's nothing else on that list I'd even give a second glance to.