maninahat said:
I am curious as to why you think a 12% section of the population getting 10% of awards is "over-representation"?
You'd expect a 12% minority that's statistically found mostly in the lower classes, to win a very small portion of awards handed out to exclusively higher social class people.
12% x percentage found in higher social class, that would suggest a much lower share of awards is the expected outcome. Giving it a stab based on the wealth gap, we'd find black people have a little over half the median income of US citizens of some kind of asian descent, the highest earning collection of ethnic groups.
So already cut in half, we need to add the effects of social dynamics and voluntary segregation. If people asociate with the lower class, it diminishes their chances in life, so the share of a half should be even lower.
I'd guesstimate an expected award-winning percentage of around 3-8% for black actors/directors in the US. 10% is an overrepresentation.
Either something is different is about black actors, or they are being privileged in the selection. I expect the latter given the American tendency to racism in favour of black people.