Trump allegedly requests foreign election interference

Recommended Videos

Silvanus

Elite Member
Legacy
Jan 15, 2013
13,054
6,748
118
Country
United Kingdom
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/oct/04/us-diplomats-told-zelenskiy-ukraine-trump-visit-was-dependent-on-biden-statement-text-investigation

We now have direct texts from diplomatic figures representing the US explicitly informing a Ukrainian aid that the visit to Washington is dependent on them opening an investigation into Hunter Biden.
 

Agema

Overhead a rainbow appears... in black and white
Legacy
Mar 3, 2009
9,917
7,080
118
Silvanus said:
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/oct/04/us-diplomats-told-zelenskiy-ukraine-trump-visit-was-dependent-on-biden-statement-text-investigation

We now have direct texts from diplomatic figures representing the US explicitly informing a Ukrainian aid that the visit to Washington is dependent on them opening an investigation into Hunter Biden.
BOOM!

No wonder Volker walked.
 

tstorm823

Elite Member
Legacy
Aug 4, 2011
7,660
978
118
Country
USA
Silvanus said:
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/oct/04/us-diplomats-told-zelenskiy-ukraine-trump-visit-was-dependent-on-biden-statement-text-investigation

We now have direct texts from diplomatic figures representing the US explicitly informing a Ukrainian aid that the visit to Washington is dependent on them opening an investigation into Hunter Biden.
No you don't, read the texts.
 

Silvanus

Elite Member
Legacy
Jan 15, 2013
13,054
6,748
118
Country
United Kingdom
tstorm823 said:
No you don't, read the texts.
Texts like this one?

"Heard from the White House -- assuming President Z convinces trump he will investigate/'get to the bottom of what happened' in 2016, we will nail down date for visit to Washington,"
Or this:

Had breakfast with Rudy this morning?teeing up call with Yermak Monday. Must have helped. Most (important) is for Zelensky to say that he will help investigation?and address any specific personnel issues?if there are any."
Or there's the one in which the Ukrainian rep explicitly states that they will only give the press conference on the investigation and Burisma once they have a date for the Washington visit from the Americans. That's a great one too.
 

Agema

Overhead a rainbow appears... in black and white
Legacy
Mar 3, 2009
9,917
7,080
118
tstorm823 said:
No you don't, read the texts.
1) Those texts most certainly reinforce the notion that Trump was using US-Ukrainian relations as a bargaining chip to pressurise Ukraine into publicly announcing investigations into Biden and the 2016 election stuff.

2) The texts also reveal that Zelenskyy thinks, and is unhappy that, the Ukraine is potentially being used as a tool for US domestic politics. So other actors in this believe that's what's going on.

Those alone are really bad news for Trump.

3) The US Ambassador to Ukraine seems to think the military aid was also used for bargaining. And if he did, other people almost certainly thought so, too. And that's the thing, isn't it: holding the aid is definitely going to create that fear. The superficial defence here is obviously that because there's no explicit record of someone saying "Hold the aid to pressure Ukraine" it's therefore above board. However, in circumstantial terms, I think a great deal of juries would not credit that defence.

4) The US ambassador to the EU (Sondland) says there's no quid pro quo. But we have to consider that as a Trump crony and likely insider, the message has got out that texts leave a dangerous "paper trail" (as we are witnessing) and so is basically saying that for the record even though it is untrue. That he then shifts the conversation to phone suggests that there's damning stuff they want to talk about, but off the record.
 

tstorm823

Elite Member
Legacy
Aug 4, 2011
7,660
978
118
Country
USA
Silvanus said:
Texts like this one?

"Heard from the White House -- assuming President Z convinces trump he will investigate/'get to the bottom of what happened' in 2016, we will nail down date for visit to Washington,"
Or this:

Had breakfast with Rudy this morning?teeing up call with Yermak Monday. Must have helped. Most (important) is for Zelensky to say that he will help investigation?and address any specific personnel issues?if there are any."
Or there's the one in which the Ukrainian rep explicitly states that they will only give the press conference on the investigation and Burisma once they have a date for the Washington visit from the Americans. That's a great one too.
Oh hey look, two texts of stuff that doesn't involve Joe Biden. And the last one is backwards from the way you're treating it. How do you take the Ukrainian representative saying "Once we have a date, will call for a press briefing, announcing the upcoming visit and outlinging vision for the reboot of US-Ukraine relaationship, including among other things Burisma and election meddling investigation" (which I would characterize as hammering out logistics, but pretending it's deal making for the moment) as the US informing Ukraine that the visit is contingent on investigating Biden.
 

Silvanus

Elite Member
Legacy
Jan 15, 2013
13,054
6,748
118
Country
United Kingdom
tstorm823 said:
Oh hey look, two texts of stuff that doesn't involve Joe Biden.
Pray explain how Burisma doesn't involve Hunter Biden.
 

Agema

Overhead a rainbow appears... in black and white
Legacy
Mar 3, 2009
9,917
7,080
118
tstorm823 said:
Oh hey look, two texts of stuff that doesn't involve Joe Biden.
Except they do, because contextually you go to quote...

How do you take the Ukrainian representative saying "Once we have a date, will call for a press briefing, announcing the upcoming visit and outlinging vision for the reboot of US-Ukraine relaationship, including among other things Burisma and election meddling investigation"
...and Burisma is the company associated with Joe Biden via his son.

But never mind that, asking for investigations that serve the purpose of trying to undermine the Mueller report is basically electoral interference too, because the Mueller report still stands as a potential stain on Trump's record.
 

Kwak

Elite Member
Sep 11, 2014
2,443
2,056
118
Country
4
tstorm823 said:
Silvanus said:
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/oct/04/us-diplomats-told-zelenskiy-ukraine-trump-visit-was-dependent-on-biden-statement-text-investigation

We now have direct texts from diplomatic figures representing the US explicitly informing a Ukrainian aid that the visit to Washington is dependent on them opening an investigation into Hunter Biden.
No you don't, read the texts.
'No, the thing that is explicitly happening is not actually the thing that is happening, because there's a big scary fake-news monster trying to eat your brain!'
 

tstorm823

Elite Member
Legacy
Aug 4, 2011
7,660
978
118
Country
USA
Silvanus said:
Pray explain how Burisma doesn't involve Hunter Biden.
Is the "Burisma" in those texts written in invisible ink? Because I can't see it. And having read the texts myself, I can tell you the first mention of Burisma doesn't come for weeks after those two. And I notice that rather than post the texts where the Trump administration apparently requests a statement be given, you summarized that part instead. Let me help you along:

First text exchange establishing public statement by Zelenskyy said:
Gordon Sonland: Morrison ready to get dates as soon as Yermak confirms.

Kurt Volker: Excellent!! How did you sway him? :)

G.S.: Not sure i did. I think potus really wants the deliverable

K.V.: But does he know that?

G.S.: Yep. Clearly lots of convos going on

K.V.: Ok - then that's good it's coming from two separate sources

G.S.: To avoid misunderstandings, might be helpful to ask Andrey for a draft statement (embargoed) so that we can see exactly what they propose to cover. Even though Ze does a live presser they can still summarize in a brief statement. Thoughts?

K.V.: Agree!
This is the first set of messages to talk about "Ze" (Zelenskyy) making a public statement before meeting with the president. It is clear from the context of other messages that the dates being proposed are for Zelenskyy meeting Trump at the White House. And while much less certain, I'm working under the assumption that "the deliverable" refers to either investigation or Zelenskyy's public statement announcing them. So there we have your suggestion that the press conference by Zelenskyy is being exchanged for a white house visit.

But notice, it's not Zelenskyy that they're trying to convince. Morrison, Trump's advisor on Russia and Ukraine, was ready to get dates, and Volker asks "how did you sway him?" Response: "Not sure I did." What does this tell us? It tells us the proposal didn't start with Trump. It was presented to Trump and he accepted. So, again assuming Trump wants this press conference, it's possible Trump and his administration said "hey, make a public statement that you're investigation 2016 election meddling", and Ukraine said "only if we can visit the White House", and Trump went "yeah, sure. Cool." Another possibility, Ukraine just proposed the whole thing at once "we'll give a press conference you like if we get to visit the White House", and Trump went "yeah, sure. cool." What we can logically deduce DIDN'T happen is Ukraine asking to visit and Trump withholding that visit unless they made a public statement first. How can we deduce that? Because if Trump was the one playing hardball, the final approval would be coming from the Ukrainian side, and wouldn't involve someone thinking Trump really wants it.

Moving along to the exchange where Ukraine insists on confirming the date of the visit:

Supposed smoking gun said:
Andrey Yermak: Hi Kurt. Please let me know when you can talk. I think it's possible to make this declaration and mention all these things. Which we discussed yesterday. But it will be logic to do after we receive a confirmation of date. We inform about date of visit and about our expectations and our guarantees for future visit. Let discuss it.

Kurt Volker: Ok! It's late for you - why don't we talk in my morning, your afternoon? Say 10am/5pm? I agree with your approach. Let's iron out statement and use that to get a date and then PreZ can go forward with it?

A.Y,: Ok

K.V.: Great. Gordon is available to join as well

A.Y.: Excellent. Once we have a date, will call for a press briefing, announcing upcoming visit and outlining vision for the reboot of US-UKRAINE relationship, including among other things Burisma and election meddling in investigation.

K.V.: Sounds great!
This is supposed to be the bombshell. Personally, I think this is just figuring out logistics, deciding a visit date before the press conference so that you can announce the visit at the conference, that's logistics. But forgetting my opinion for the moment and reading this in the worst possible sense, we have Yermak, Ukrainian aide to Zelenskyy, refusing to arrange for the press conference until the date for the White House visit has been confirmed. And the US diplomatic response is "Ok!... I agree... Sounds Great!" So again, the instigating side is Ukraine. They're like "hey, we can do this thing, but do this thing for us" and the US agrees.

And just like in the record of the phone call, it's the Ukrainian side of the conversation that brings up anything relating to Biden first. Yernak is the one roping in Burisma. When all we had was the phone call, I was being told that maybe it was Zelenskyy bringing that up in that exchange, but obviously they were pressuring him to do that behind the scenes. Well this is behind the scenes. Not just is this behind the scenes, this is released by Democrats explicitly moving for impeachment, with a statement saying

Earlier today, selected portions of these texts were leaked to the press out of context. In order to correct the public record, we are now providing an attachment with more complete excerpts from the exchanges. The additional excerpts we are providing are still only a subset of the full body of the materials, which we hope to make public after review for personally identifiable information.

Our investigation will continue in the coming days. But we hope every Member of the House will join us in condemning in the strongest terms the President's now open defiance of our core values as American citizens to guard foreign interference in our democratic process.
So don't expect more to show up and make it worse, this list of texts was selected for release by those condemning Trump. It's not going to look worse than this. And we still have situations where the Ukrainian side is instigating.

Timeline including these texts:


1)We have had a report [https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/463307-solomon-these-once-secret-memos-cast-doubt-on-joe-bidens-ukraine-story] claim that Ukrainian officials were trying to get information about Burisma to the state department for the last year. The same report claimed that they were contacting Giuliani about it, not the other way around.

2)Before any of these text messages, Trump suspends military aid to Ukraine, and none of these texts acknowledge it until after the meeting's been arranged.

2)In these texts [https://www.scribd.com/document/428684382/Letter-Attachment-List#fullscreen&from_embed], we see a US envoy to Ukraine arrange a meeting between Giuliani and Yermak without indication of who asked for the introduction, but Giuliani and the State Department have said Yermak was the one who requested it [https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-impeachment-inquiry/kurt-volker-trump-s-part-time-ukraine-envoy-played-role-n1058871]. Then we have texts between US officials, talking about a calls involving Trump, Giuliani, and Yermak, saying his breakfast with Rudy (whcih seems to have been requested by Yermak) must have helped.

3)Next in these texts, We have one us official warn another that Ukraine doesn't want to look like a tool of the US, and the response is "Absolutely, but we need to get the conversation started regardless of the pretext." This is someone who, by my understanding, was trying to get a conversation started with the President on behalf of the Ukrainians. That is a huge statement. That says he was willing to act under the pretext the Ukrainians are trying to help Trump in order to get Trump to talk to them. This isn't Trump pressuring them, this is being offered to him.

4)Texts show an exchange where everyone involved is pushing up the line to try and get Trump in for the phone call. They say Morrison is pushing for the call, but feel free to tell Bolton that Rudy agrees to it. Trump did not instigate this.

5)Texts before the phone call indicate the call will go well if Zelenskyy agrees to investigate 2016 election meddling. This implies that when Trump agreed to the phone call, he made comment about 2016 election meddling.

6)The phone call [https://www.scribd.com/document/427409665/Ukraine-Call-Transcript#from_embed] happens, and Trump asks for an investigation into the 2016 election. Mind you, we now know he's been asking this of basically any head of state he talks to on behalf of the Attorney General. Zelenskyy brings up the meeting between Yermak and Giuliani, which Yermak had requested, which inspires Trump to talk about Biden, implying Yermak contacted Giuliani at least in part to talk about Biden.

7)The White House is "swayed" into agreeing to the Ukrainian's visit to the White House, presumably by the offer of a press statement announcing investigations in Ukraine.

8)Volker speaks with Yermak, Yermak mention Zelenskyy making a statement to him. Then Volker asks Giuliani for another call with Yermak to advise him on the statement. The next day, Yermak requests a confirmed date for the White House visit so that they can announce the visit in the same press conference. Again, Yermak is instigating these events.

9)A bunch of correspondence goes back and forth on what the public statement should be.

10) Yermak contacts Volker with a Politico story about Trump suspending military aid to Ukraine and says "we need to talk". This implies that Yermak, aide to the President of Ukraine who arranged for the call and visit between Trump and Zelenskyy, didn't know about the suspending aid money until this news story, August 29th. And then Trump's trip to meet with Zelensky gets cancelled.

If you can look at that series of events and think that Trump was pressuring Ukraine, your eyes are just closed. It isn't just "well, they didn't mention military aid and Zelenskyy brought Biden up first" anymore. We know more now. And every piece of real evidence we have indicates that the Ukrainians didn't know about the aid until way after the phone call, and every step of the phone call and White House visit arrangements was started by Ukraine and asked of Trump. Pretend I'm wrong all you want, this is truth.
 

Agema

Overhead a rainbow appears... in black and white
Legacy
Mar 3, 2009
9,917
7,080
118
tstorm823 said:
But notice, it's not Zelenskyy that they're trying to convince. Morrison, Trump's advisor on Russia and Ukraine, was ready to get dates...
You are completely ignoring the context of the entire exchange and surrounding events.

1) Giuliani is trying to get to someone close to Zelenskyy, not vice versa. Also relevant here is the fact we now know that the US executive has explicitly asked at least three other countries (UK, Australia, Italy) to look into matters, so we know the USA is pursuing other countries on this rather than the other way round. The Trump administration is fishing.

2) 7/9/19: Sondland briefs Zelenskyy about what Trump wants to hear; Volker affirms it is vital Zelenskyy says the right thing - clearly indicating there is a need to satisfy Trump.

3) 7/21/19: Zelenskyy is concerned about appearing like a tool of US domestic politics. But if he were, why would he even have taken the initiative on closed investigations politically sensitive to US domestic politics in the first place? Sondland replies "We need to get the conversation started". Not Zelenskyy - the American side wants it done.

4) 8/9/19: Volker and Sondland discuss wanting to see what Zelenskyy will say beforehand, and also advising him what he needs to say. Again, this is telling us it is the Trump administration that wants certain things said by Zelenskyy.

5) 8/10/19 "Let's iron out statement and use that to get a date and then PreZ can go forward with it?" So that's a quid pro quo: a date to visit is dependent on Ukraine's statement.

6) 8/17/19 Sondland and Volker again discuss the desirability of Zelenskyy announcing these investigations, and Volker talks - specifically - about how to mitigate the impact of Ukraine being seen to interfere with the USA.

7) It is notable that Sondland is taking the lead here: he's ambassador to the EU. Bill Taylor is the ambassador to Ukraine, so why isn't he sorting this out? We might note Sondland is a Trump crony where Taylor is a career civil servant.

If we take the base assumption that Trump is merely concerned about corruption in Ukraine, there is never any need for anyone to discuss Burisma or the 2016 investigation explicitly, just for Zelenskyy to vigorously address corruption and promise to do something about it. Let's face it, Ukraine can't be short of corruption investigations to look at, so why concentrate on mentioning these? Given the risk to Zelenskyy from getting involved in the mire US domestic politics, why would he voluntarily do it?

This makes no sense at all.

Thus the better assumption is that the USA is driving him to do this, because the Trump administration wants it done. Throughout this text exchange (as per the above), it is absolutely clear that the American side really is driving Zelenskyy to assure Trump about investigations personally advantageous to Trump, to the point of briefing Zelenskyy what to say to Trump. So Trump is selling US foreign policy for personal favours.

You know, the point of a republic is you're supposed to have given up the notion from absolute monarchy that the head of state is the state.
 

tstorm823

Elite Member
Legacy
Aug 4, 2011
7,660
978
118
Country
USA
Agema said:
1) Giuliani is trying to get to someone close to Zelenskyy, not vice versa. Also relevant here is the fact we now know that the US executive has explicitly asked at least three other countries (UK, Australia, Italy) to look into matters, so we know the USA is pursuing other countries on this rather than the other way round. The Trump administration is fishing.
Prove it. I've got the report from John Solomon saying Ukraine was trying to get this information over since summer 2018. I've got Ukrainians asking for the introduction to Giuliani. I've got encrypted text messages showing about the meeting with Giuliani leading to a phone call with Trump that back this up. Give me a single solitary piece of evidence that Trump reached out to Ukraine first about any of this. Your prima facie has blown up. And Trump asking other countries to look into the same thing he asked Ukraine to only takes away from the idea that this was trying to pressure Ukraine specifically to help him in the next election. Do you not recognize how far your claims have degraded from "it looks like Trump withheld aid from Ukraine until they investigated Biden."

2) 7/19/19: Sondland briefs Zelenskyy about what Trump wants to hear; Volker affirms it is vital Zelenskyy says the right thing - clearly indicating there is a need to satisfy Trump.
You're not understanding that text message. "potus call tomorrow" isn't the call between Trump and Zelenskyy. I assume "potus call" is where they started trying to convince Trump to meet with the Ukrainians. Regardless, advocacy for a call between the two presidents started 3 days after the text you're referring to. This wasn't prep for that. Nor was it marching orders from Trump. This was strategy for how to get Trump to agree to talk to Zelenskyy. There's an immeasurable chasm of difference between US diplomats prepping a foreign leader on how to make a good impression on the President of the United States and the President demanding that behavior.

3) 7/21/19: Zelenskyy is concerned about appearing like a tool of US domestic politics. But if he were, why would he even have taken the initiative on closed investigations politically sensitive to US domestic politics in the first place? Sondland replies "We need to get the conversation started". Not Zelenskyy - the American side wants it done.
Americans said those things, yes. For the exact same reason they said the previous things. They're diplomats, part of their job is to arrange for cordial relations between leaders of state. It's not Zelenskyy saying that to Trump, it's diplomats discussing strategy prior to the leaders meeting. They're worried about presenting Ukraine as a tool to Trump exactly because they don't want Trump to piss of Zelenskyy but treating him like a servant, but Sondland is willing to present Ukraine that way if it's the only way to get Trump involved. They've already spoken to Zelenskyy directly by this point. Trump is the one they still need to bring into the conversation.

4) 8/9/19: Volker and Sondland discuss wanting to see what Zelenskyy will say beforehand, and also advising him what he needs to say. Again, this is telling us it is the Trump administration that wants certain things said by Zelenskyy.
You're treating this like marching orders, and there is no indication of that. If the Ukrainian leadership contact US diplomats and said "we'd like a reboot on the US-Ukraine relationship with the new President of Ukraine, and we'd like to tie it to our anti-corruption efforts, but we can't do that without public US support", it would lead to this exact series of events. There is nothing in any of this that suggests orders were passed down from the White House.

5) 8/10/19 "Let's iron out statement and use that to get a date and then PreZ can go forward with it?" So that's a quid pro quo: a date to visit is dependent on Ukraine's statement.
You're going to ignore that it was Yermak's suggestion? Just going to outright ignore it? You're just going to pretend that sentence didn't follow "I agree with your approach", and wasn't a direct response to:
Andrey Yermak: Hi Kurt. Please let me know when you can talk. I think it's possible to make this declaration and mention all these things. Which we discussed yesterday. But it will be logic to do after we receive a confirmation of date. We inform about date of visit and about our expectations and our guarantees for future visit. Let discuss it.
Don't tell me not to believe my lying eyes Agema, we're reading the same document. At the very worst, if you really want to call that a quid pro quo, it's a quid pro quo initiated by Yermak and agreed to by Volker. But I'm not even agreeing to that, this is diplomats planning how to win Trump's approval for Ukraine. There's just no possible way those texts happen in that order based on Trump demanding that press conference in return for a White House visit. That's a nonsense read of things.

6) 8/17/19 Sondland and Volker again discuss the desirability of Zelenskyy announcing these investigations, and Volker talks - specifically - about how to mitigate the impact of Ukraine being seen to interfere with the USA.
Yes. Diplomacy.

7) It is notable that Sondland is taking the lead here: he's ambassador to the EU. Bill Taylor is the ambassador to Ukraine, so why isn't he sorting this out? We might note Sondland is a Trump crony where Taylor is a career civil servant.
Taylor entered that role in June. Volker and Sondland have both been working together longer than that. Sondland isn't in the primary correspondence role, Volker is. The ambassador to the European Union likely has more access to the White House than the ambassador to just Ukraine. Like, tons of reasons for that make sense.

If we take the base assumption that Trump is merely concerned about corruption in Ukraine, there is never any need for anyone to discuss Burisma or the 2016 investigation explicitly, just for Zelenskyy to vigorously address corruption and promise to do something about it. Let's face it, Ukraine can't be short of corruption investigations to look at, so why concentrate on mentioning these? Given the risk to Zelenskyy from getting involved in the mire US domestic politics, why would he voluntarily do it?

This makes no sense at all.
It's not going to make any sense until you stop reading this as a Trump initiative. When you read it as a Ukrainian initiate to win Trump's favor, it all falls into place. And we have plenty of information saying the Ukrainians initiated contact to back that read up. Just for 10 seconds imagine Trump's not the evil mastermind and you'll understand. Don't ignore what I'm saying just to spite me for defending Trump.
 

Agema

Overhead a rainbow appears... in black and white
Legacy
Mar 3, 2009
9,917
7,080
118
tstorm823 said:
Prove it. I've got the report from John Solomon saying Ukraine was trying to get this information over since summer 2018.
Solomon says this; what is the proof? Put it this way, there's all this evidence on Trump/Ukraine you don't think is good enough, what makes you think Solomon's is cast iron? How selective are you?

Secondly, it's a different administration. You can't just say "Ukraine" and pretend that the old regime (or prosecutor) is the same as the new. There's no evidence Zelenskyy had any interest in Burisma etc. at all until Giuliani etc. started tapping him for it. In May '19, the (old) prosecutor said there was no case to answer. Giuliani is still digging and now pursuing a brand new set of Ukrainians over this after the old lot evidently dropped it.

I've got Ukrainians asking for the introduction to Giuliani. I've got encrypted text messages showing about the meeting with Giuliani leading to a phone call with Trump that back this up. Give me a single solitary piece of evidence that Trump reached out to Ukraine first about any of this. Your prima facie has blown up.
Again, the Ukrainian ex-prosecutor you are relying on for this has explicitly said in May 2019 Biden had no case to answer, which he maintains. And again, there you are being hilariously selective about how you weight evidence.

You're not understanding that text message.
Dude, Zelenskyy is being briefed by US officials, and as per the context running throughout the whole text conversation about what he should say to keep Trump happy.

Americans said those things, yes. For the exact same reason they said the previous things. They're diplomats, part of their job is to arrange for cordial relations between leaders of state. It's not Zelenskyy saying that to Trump, it's diplomats discussing strategy prior to the leaders meeting. They're worried about presenting Ukraine as a tool to Trump exactly because they don't want Trump to piss of Zelenskyy but treating him like a servant, but Sondland is willing to present Ukraine that way if it's the only way to get Trump involved. They've already spoken to Zelenskyy directly by this point. Trump is the one they still need to bring into the conversation.
Again, contextually, that argument is all garbage. Nor does it make sense given that Zelenskyy is clearly unhappy about the prospect of being drawn into US domestic policies. That means Zelenskyy, given the choice, simply wouldn't wade into that arena at all: at best, even if he wanted to investigate Burisma, he'd simply have it done without making a big public announcement or out of the election cycle. And "diplomacy", good relations, would mean the US officials would say it's fine to not make a big deal over it.

Except the US officials don't: so they want Burisma etc. brought up. And we know Giuliani is digging like crazy, and Barr and others are ready to get involved too. And the USA is reaching out to other countries, and Trump has publicly said he'd love foreign governments to investigate his political opponents, and has publicly invited foreign countries to investigate his political opponents.

So we have all this screaming about the Trump administration being really happy to invite dirt on their domestic political opponents, against which I can only describe your reaction as sticking your fingers in your ears and shouting "LALALALALALALALA" until you're hoarse.

There is nothing in any of this that suggests orders were passed down from the White House.
Ah, here we go. Finally tacitly acknowledge error, but set up the little guys as sacrificial pawns instead.

You're going to ignore that it was Yermak's suggestion?
It doesn't matter whose suggestion it is. It reveals a quid pro quo.

Don't tell me not to believe my lying eyes Agema, we're reading the same document. At the very worst, if you really want to call that a quid pro quo, it's a quid pro quo initiated by Yermak and agreed to by Volker. But I'm not even agreeing to that, this is diplomats planning how to win Trump's approval for Ukraine. There's just no possible way those texts happen in that order based on Trump demanding that press conference in return for a White House visit. That's a nonsense read of things.
Yeah.

At the kindest for Trump, US officials are selling the Ukraine to Trump by Trump getting politically advantageous material to smear his likely election opponent. What does that say about these Trump appointees[footnote]Via Tillerson, in Volker's case[/footnote]? What does it say about Trump himself that the way into his good books for foreign countries is that they smear his domestic political opponents? It says they and he are corrupt, and US foreign policy is being subverted for the personal gain of Trump.

6) 8/17/19 Sondland and Volker again discuss the desirability of Zelenskyy announcing these investigations, and Volker talks - specifically - about how to mitigate the impact of Ukraine being seen to interfere with the USA.
Corrupt diplomacy, suborning foreign policy for the personal interest of the US president.

When you read it as a Ukrainian initiate to win Trump's favor, it all falls into place.
Fine.

Then you show evidence that Petro Poroshenko, ex-president of Ukraine, instructed ex-chief prosecutor Lutsenko to approach the USA with investigations to win Trump's favour, rather that Lutsenko striking out on his own. Then you can present us the evidence for why Lutsenko rolled back in May and announced there was no case to answer. And then you can present the evidence for why Zelenskyy decided to resurrect this tactic when he took power.

If you can't, stop wasting our time: because without all that it's a load of speculative hot air when there's real evidence on the table right here and right now.
 

tstorm823

Elite Member
Legacy
Aug 4, 2011
7,660
978
118
Country
USA
Agema said:
Fine.

Then you show evidence that Petro Poroshenko, ex-president of Ukraine, instructed ex-chief prosecutor Lutsenko to approach the USA with investigations to win Trump's favour, rather that Lutsenko striking out on his own. Then you can present us the evidence for why Lutsenko rolled back in May and announced there was no case to answer. And then you can present the evidence for why Zelenskyy decided to resurrect this tactic when he took power.

If you can't, stop wasting our time: because without all that it's a load of speculative hot air when there's real evidence on the table right here and right now.
You have real evidence that Trump initiated this exchange with Ukraine? You have that? Show me that!

I've linked an article saying Ukraine tried to work through the Southern District of New York over a year ago, were turned away, and instead contacted Giuliani. You've dismissed that based on the author.

I've shown the state department stating that Yermak requested the introduction to Giuliani in July, not the other way around, and you ignore it.

I have the the order of events in those text messages showing Zelenskyy was planning what to say before Trump even agreed to the phone call.

I've given evidence. The evidence supports me. The text exchanges support me. The phone record supports me. When we were talking about whether or not the Ukrainians lnew about the aid being frozen, you dismissed the lack of discussion in the phone call as unimportant, you figured the whistleblower was vague enough that they might have known, you ignored a New York Times reporter saying explicitly the Ukrainians didn't know until August, and now finally it looks like the text message demonstrating Yermak learned about it from Politico was enough for you to drop that point. (I haven't forgotten when you thought judging their knowledge based on the news at the time was stupid.)

I told you when the subpoenas started we'd find out whether or not the Ukrainians made first contact, and here it is, and you're just dismissing it. How long are you going to hold out? Giuliani's been subpoenaed. We're going to find out more. And every new piece of information is going to make it clearer.

Like, it's not hard to speculate why the Ukrainians closed the investigation and reopened it. The old regime was doing it to butter up Trump, they cancelled that when they lost the election, and then the knew regime thought "hey, that's an idea." That's just speculation. But at least it's not speculation that contradicts the evidence. Your theory of events has no evidence but the spin of the media. If you've got a scrap of real evidence or a first party source saying Trump started any of this, I'd love to see it.
 

Agema

Overhead a rainbow appears... in black and white
Legacy
Mar 3, 2009
9,917
7,080
118
tstorm823 said:
You have real evidence that Trump initiated this exchange with Ukraine? You have that? Show me that!
It's not important who initiated it. What matters is that the Trump administration is aggressively pursuing it with a clear eye on Trump's political gain. It's a mess of conflict of interest with the involvement of Trump's personal lawyer.

I've linked an article saying Ukraine tried to work through the Southern District of New York over a year ago, were turned away, and instead contacted Giuliani. You've dismissed that based on the author.
I'm not dismissing it; I'm holding it as potentially unsafe. I'm concerned about that article because the author has a dodgy record of poorly supported stories. He has posted documents online that he claims supports his pieces, but I did not see one verifying that particular claim. So where did he get it from?

I've shown the state department stating that Yermak requested the introduction to Giuliani in July, not the other way around, and you ignore it.
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/05/11/rudy-giuliani-ukraine-biden-1317605
So Giuliani had been fishing around the incoming administration months as soon as the election was won. Giuliani is turned down to meet Zelenkyy at the time.

So Giuliani cancels his trip, and starts publicly stating that Zelenskyy is being advised by enemies of the USA. Pence is due to attend Zelenskyy's inauguration, and then is replaced by a far more minor official - that seems to be a snub. To sum up as the whistleblower states: "multiple U.S. officials told me that the Ukrainian leadership was led to believe that a meeting or phone call between the President and President Zelenskyy would depend on whether Zelenskyy showed willingness to ?play ball? on the issues that had been publicly aired by Mr. Lutsenko and Mr. Giuliani"

So why do you think someone in the Ukrainian team decided they needed to reverse their previous decision and meet Giuliani after all?

Underlying all this is that Giuliani is acting in a capacity as a private citizen, Trump's personal lawyer. And yet State Department efforts and resources are being employed to lean on Ukraine to secure a meeting. Giuliani, for instance, is taking advice from the State Dept. to meet Yermak rather than other officials, and they are critical to mediating a meeting. Don't pretend Volker et al. don't know what Giuliani's actually looking for. This is corruption.

I have the the order of events in those text messages showing Zelenskyy was planning what to say before Trump even agreed to the phone call.
Of course it was. That Zelenskyy would say certain things was a precondition to even allowing the Trump-Zelenskyy call to occur in the first place. That's what the 7/19/19 texts reveal and why Zelenskyy needed to be briefed.

I've given evidence. The evidence supports me. The text exchanges support me. The phone record supports me.
It really doesn't, and I'm sorry you can't see that.

You want to say this is coming from Ukraine, but this doesn't remotely explain why Zelenskyy initially rebuffed Giuliani, why the USA appears to have applied leverage to change his mind, why it is Zelenskyy is still concerned about potential interference with US domestic politics, and why US officials are telling Zelenskyy what he needs to say. None of it makes any sense if Zelenskyy et al. really wanted to do this on their own.
 

Agema

Overhead a rainbow appears... in black and white
Legacy
Mar 3, 2009
9,917
7,080
118
tstorm823 said:
and now finally it looks like the text message demonstrating Yermak learned about it from Politico was enough for you to drop that point. (I haven't forgotten when you thought judging their knowledge based on the news at the time was stupid.)
Okay, let's look at this in isolation as I think it's an example of what you keep doing wrong here. At face value, the exchange between Yermak and Volker is absolutely nothing but Yermak citing an article and wanting to talk, and Volker agreeing.

Let's run through some (non-comprehensive) possibilities:

1) It's the first time Yermak has heard of it...
a) ... or anyone else in the Ukrainian government[footnote]this interpretation is of course completely contradictory to the whistleblower report, thus should be treated with particular caution[/footnote]
b) ... but other Ukrainian officials had heard of it earlier, it's just Yermak happened to be out of that loop.

2) Yermak has heard of the aid block before that date...
a) ...he was expecting the aid to be released and is pissed that it hasn't been
b) ...he is worried about the press reports and how it looks (e.g. for domestic Ukrainian politics)
c) ...he thinks it's still being used as leverage for continued action and wants to know what
d) ...there's something specific in that article other than the aid block that bothers him
d) ... (etc.)

* * *

All of these are credible. You cannot simply impose a specific interpretation on it from amongst all these possibilities that holds any weight - but that's what you keep doing. I would say this exchange is effectively impossible to draw conclusions about, and is best mostly ignored for now.
 

tstorm823

Elite Member
Legacy
Aug 4, 2011
7,660
978
118
Country
USA
Agema said:
So why do you think someone in the Ukrainian team decided they needed to reverse their previous decision and meet Giuliani after all?
Your source says Giuliani canceled that meeting, not Zelenskyy. Boooooo.

Underlying all this is that Giuliani is acting in a capacity as a private citizen, Trump's personal lawyer. And yet State Department efforts and resources are being employed to lean on Ukraine to secure a meeting. Giuliani, for instance, is taking advice from the State Dept. to meet Yermak rather than other officials, and they are critical to mediating a meeting. Don't pretend Volker et al. don't know what Giuliani's actually looking for. This is corruption.
We know Giuliani is working with the State Department in some capacity. We don't exactly know how or why that occurred. I suspect we'll find out soon enough. Again, booooooooo.

Of course it was. That Zelenskyy would say certain things was a precondition to even allowing the Trump-Zelenskyy call to occur in the first place. That's what the 7/19/19 texts reveal and why Zelenskyy needed to be briefed.
The texts don't show that. The texts show Zelenskyy being prepped on what to say to make the call most effective. There is zero indication the White House gave instructions or made demands.

It really doesn't, and I'm sorry you can't see that.

You want to say this is coming from Ukraine, but this doesn't remotely explain why Zelenskyy initially rebuffed Giuliani, why the USA appears to have applied leverage to change his mind, why it is Zelenskyy is still concerned about potential interference with US domestic politics, and why US officials are telling Zelenskyy what he needs to say. None of it makes any sense if Zelenskyy et al. really wanted to do this on their own.
Zelenskyy didn't cancel, the US didn't leverage him to change his mind, Zelenskyy not wanting to appear corrupt isn't evidence of wrongdoing (and would have been good advice for Biden in the past), and if you read those texts its US officials asking for draft statements and Yermak asking for guidance on what to say with no sign of orders from the US.

It doesn't make any sense because you're making events up.

Agema said:
All of these are credible. You cannot simply impose a specific interpretation on it from amongst all these possibilities that holds any weight - but that's what you keep doing. I would say this exchange is effectively impossible to draw conclusions about, and is best mostly ignored for now.
So when you take a first impression look at the whole scenario and decide Trump was shaking down Zelenskyy in the phone call, it's prima facie guilt and even with mounting evidence agaisnt that read you won't let it go. But when I take the most obvious interpretation of a text message, it's selective interpretation of something I should just be ignoring.

Point some of those fingers back at yourself, por favor.
 

Silvanus

Elite Member
Legacy
Jan 15, 2013
13,054
6,748
118
Country
United Kingdom
tstorm823 said:
The texts don't show that. The texts show Zelenskyy being prepped on what to say to make the call most effective. There is zero indication the White House gave instructions or made demands.
Ah yes, of course, it was just standard prep. World leaders often receive their prep & coaching from aides and diplomats from another country. Perfectly normal.
 

Agema

Overhead a rainbow appears... in black and white
Legacy
Mar 3, 2009
9,917
7,080
118
tstorm823 said:
Your source says Giuliani canceled that meeting, not Zelenskyy. Boooooo.
Yes, it says Giuliani cancelled his trip... because he wasn't getting to speak to who he wanted to. But I have to admit my apologies, I had more than one article up and I accidentally c'n'ped the link to the wrong one.

We know Giuliani is working with the State Department in some capacity. We don't exactly know how or why that occurred. I suspect we'll find out soon enough. Again, booooooooo.
At best, that's a colossal conflict of interest.

At worst, it's bollocks: surely it would be the easiest thing in the world for the State Dept. to clear this up and say Giuliani was officially working on their behalf. Why haven't they?

The texts don't show that. The texts show Zelenskyy being prepped on what to say to make the call most effective. There is zero indication the White House gave instructions or made demands.
Firstly, again, you're moving from "nothing to see here" to implicitly accepting there's a problem and throwing the underlings under the bus.

But we can go back to that phone call. Again, it is Trump who brings up the investigations in that conversation - the "favor", remember - with Zelenskyy. In other words, Trump knows what's going on when he has that call. Of course he does. Do you think Giuliani has been fishing in Ukraine for over a year and not told his employer why and what's going on? How do you seriously pretend Trump is unaware?

Zelenskyy didn't cancel, the US didn't leverage him to change his mind
The whistleblower says US officials did, and other supporting evidence available looks very much like they did. You're entitled to your opinion, but your opinion is shockingly weak.

It doesn't make any sense because you're making events up.
That's some grand hypocrisy, there. Most of your "arguments" have been mere speculation.

So when you take a first impression look at the whole scenario and decide Trump was shaking down Zelenskyy in the phone call, it's prima facie guilt
I said the phone call was prime facie evidence of Trump asking a foreign leader to interfere with US domestic politics that demanded further investigation. Because it was and still is. The whistleblower report is really bad for Trump on top, as it is also alleges a shakedown. And likewise the texts are also consistent.

and even with mounting evidence agaisnt that read you won't let it go.
It's not just me, is it? Honestly, not even half the right wing thinks Trump's clean here, never mind left and centre. There's an intelligence professional - in fact if the news is to believed now two - who blew the whistle because he thought it was that bad.

And even Trump loyalists are swinging towards the strategies of trying to argue impeachment is inappropriate (wrong time, not serious enough of an offence) rather than Trump's innocence. So ask yourself very carefully where bias is likely to lie here.

The thing is, when you say "mounting evidence against that read", it's actually "more of tstorm823's opinion on the evidence that's against that read". And as you might have noted, I don't find your arguments compelling.