Who's the next world superpower?
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European Union. Plain and simple:
1) most stable government,
2) most peaceful region,
3) already the world's largest economy.
China? Only if:
1) There are no revolutions or coups or threats to the CCP's power.
2) There is no war in the Taiwan Strait.
3) Reforms in both politics and economic structure to address: A) Social Injustice, and B) Widening gap between rich and poor.
India?
The whole "India and China" thing is really a figurement of the western imagination, the only advantage India has is an English speaking education system. The foundations of the India economy is much weaker than China, and India government's power and influence in the world is a joke compared to the omnipotent CCP.
Russia? Short answer is no. Long answer is maybe as a major power in the Shanghai co-operation organisation, but not as a superpower on it's own.
Brazil? Too corrupt, too much injustice, no chance of reforms.
Canada? If the entire planet adopts Nuclear power, and the middle east and central asia becomes real chaotic, then considering how much Uranium and oil sands Canada has...... It's not that impossible.
1) most stable government,
2) most peaceful region,
3) already the world's largest economy.
China? Only if:
1) There are no revolutions or coups or threats to the CCP's power.
2) There is no war in the Taiwan Strait.
3) Reforms in both politics and economic structure to address: A) Social Injustice, and B) Widening gap between rich and poor.
India?
The whole "India and China" thing is really a figurement of the western imagination, the only advantage India has is an English speaking education system. The foundations of the India economy is much weaker than China, and India government's power and influence in the world is a joke compared to the omnipotent CCP.
Russia? Short answer is no. Long answer is maybe as a major power in the Shanghai co-operation organisation, but not as a superpower on it's own.
Brazil? Too corrupt, too much injustice, no chance of reforms.
Canada? If the entire planet adopts Nuclear power, and the middle east and central asia becomes real chaotic, then considering how much Uranium and oil sands Canada has...... It's not that impossible.
India is a no. It has FAR too many social problems. China is expanding fast but is on shaky ground with the state of its government.
Would you believe that this particular argument is nearly a century old? [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Illusion] Politics often trumps best interests.Pernese post=18.73207.855282 said:
But I hope you're right.
You've got a point there. However, it's not that the BRIC nations are all competing in the same fields... each has its own reason for (possible) economic prosperity. That said, all have their own issues, but that's why it's an matter of time.bluemarsman post=18.73207.794650 said:
has anyone ever noticed that superpowers seem to be moving further and further westwards, from persia to america, so it could be australia or china, but my money is on the chinese, if the economy crumbles the chineese political system is better suited for a complete stock crash