Nice work for the first two rounds... unfortunately he's completely screwed in the rounds thereafter!
1- ((13.6million-1)/(13.6million))^(4.78million) = .299Baby Tea said:Yeah! A 1 in 4 chance if everyone picked a completely different bracket.Abedeus said:Also, 3 millions of people, 1 to 13 million chance of making it right by picking randomly the teams with NO knowledge or sense at all... It means that what, it's a 1 in a 4 chance to happen?
But that's not going to happen, so the odds are actually much higher.
But you're right. Never mind that it would have been crazy awesome no matter who did it, and never mind that this kid is going to be held back by his illness for his entire life, as there is no cure, and will probably never again have the opportunity to have this kind of attention, but screw it, right?
Let's instead all be internet grumpy-pants who can't enjoy any lick of positive news.
That's a much better idea.
This is the point I was trying to make. I'm not putting him down, I think it's a really cool achievement, but the fact that he's autistic has nothing to do with something which is entirely down to luck.Calatar said:1- ((13.6million-1)/(13.6million))^(4.78million) = .299Baby Tea said:Yeah! A 1 in 4 chance if everyone picked a completely different bracket.Abedeus said:Also, 3 millions of people, 1 to 13 million chance of making it right by picking randomly the teams with NO knowledge or sense at all... It means that what, it's a 1 in a 4 chance to happen?
But that's not going to happen, so the odds are actually much higher.
But you're right. Never mind that it would have been crazy awesome no matter who did it, and never mind that this kid is going to be held back by his illness for his entire life, as there is no cure, and will probably never again have the opportunity to have this kind of attention, but screw it, right?
Let's instead all be internet grumpy-pants who can't enjoy any lick of positive news.
That's a much better idea.
So there's a 29.9% chance of somebody getting them all right, assuming randomized charts per person, repeatable values possible. Maybe that math is more to your liking.
Repeating what others have said, the fact that a person got it isn't all that incredible given the enormous sample pool. Attributing it to anything apart from luck is entirely premature. The mention of autism and "math skills" really has very little to do with his success. If it was simply math skills, then he wouldn't choose any underdogs, and would just go with the most statistically likely options.
It just seems like he's being hailed as a savant because he guessed right, and he's autistic.
While I agree it is an amazing feat, I too think that his accomplishment, not his disease, should have been emphasized in the headline at least. The autism should have backed up the incredibleness of his bracket, not overshadow it. It's just decency to try and treat them as normal people, instead of making a huge deal over why they are different, which could (didn't happen here) eclipse their achievements.Baby Tea said:Yeah, you're right.Transitionist said:Who gives a shit that he's autistic? Why do writers feel the need to point these things out, they don't change anything :/
Who cares that a kid with a serious mental illness correctly picked the winning teams in March Madness with perfect accuracy over all the 'experts' and people who do this stuff for a living, and who do not have that mental handicap. That shouldn't make a difference, right?
Except that it makes it all the more incredible.
A person without that problem doing this would be pretty awesome.
But a kid with autism? How is that not extra awesome?
On topic: Good on him! The bracket he entered doesn't allow for him to win anything, which is a shame (He earned it), but it's incredibly awesome nonetheless. Maybe a sports company will cut him some slack and get him some type of prize anyways. That would be class act.