If someone posted this already then I don't care, too lazy to check the whole thread.
The Drake equation states that:
where:
N = the number of civilizations in our galaxy with which communication might be possible;
and
R* = the average rate of star formation per year in our galaxy
f[sub]p[/sub] = the fraction of those stars that have planets
n[sub]e[/sub] = the average number of planets that can potentially support life per star that has planets
f[sub]e[/sub] = the fraction of the above that actually go on to develop life at some point
f[sub]i[/sub] = the fraction of the above that actually go on to develop intelligent life
f[sub]c[/sub] = the fraction of civilizations that develop a technology that releases detectable signs of their existence into space
L = the length of time for which such civilizations release detectable signals into space.
- - -
This is just for our one galaxy. Considering the billions of galaxies in the universe, statistical probability says we cannot possibly be alone in the universe. I agree with it.
Is any sentient life close enough to us to ever have a hope of us contacting one another? No clue.