Nadia Castle said:
'The point is, Nintendo is very, very closely mirroring Sega's Saturn to Dreamcast era of the 1990s. Turning their backs on 3rd party support and not having games on launch worth playing on their consoles. If a major 3rd party publisher publically says they'll never make a game for Nintendo again like EA did to SEGA) it could do irreversible damage to Nintendo.'
Quoting myself.
Really? I'd say Microsoft is the one doing the inevitable 'lets get arrogant' for the third console. Nintendo had theirs with the N64 and Sony with the PS3. The EA-Sega fallout was also more to do with EA's nasty ways than Sega alienating them, demanding they have exclusive rights to make sports games despite Sega having just set up a studio for that exact reason (even more of a kick in the teeth when you remember the genesis/megadrive is what made EA big). Nintendo seems to be stuck in a sort of limbo where their previous console soared so high they don't really have anywhere else to go.
Either way I think this generation is just going to be a bit of a disappointment for everybody. All three consoles have sold well at launch but really there isn't anything at a glance that is radically different from the previous generation. Even the console interfaces have barely changed.
I believe you meant to quote me on this?
I'd have to majorly, majorly disagree with the Sega Genesis "making EA big". EA was big long before the Sega Genesis due to games like Dungeon Keeper and others. If anything it was EA that made the Sega Genesis big by making its best 3rd party titles from a North American publisher/developer.
That being said EA's "nasty ways" were not the what lead to the EA-Sega fallout. It was Sega alienating
all the third party publishers when they made a surprise E3 announcement that they were releasing the Sega Saturn 6 months before the original release date.
Without telling any third party publisher.
Which meant the console came out with no games and 6 months of no releases.
That's when EA told Sega to go fuck themselves. And very soon after a bunch of other 3rd party companies followed suit. Sega caused dozens of companies to lose money en mass and at once. That's why the Dreamcast had almost exclusively Japanese developed games.
That being said, I think Nintendo's problem is that they have never had to competitively market their console with any seriousness before.
Think about it.
Ever since the NES each Nintendo console barring the Wii has sold less units overall with each generational release.
The NES was birthed from the 1980s video game collapse. Nintendo had a nigh monopoly with the NES vs Sega's Master System.
Then it was the SNES's 49 million units sold against the Genesis' 40 million. Both stupidly high sales for consoles in 1990. Both made a lot of money, but Nintendo had more software sales due to its franchises.
The N64 came along, got blown out of the water in hardware sales by the PSOne, but again, franchises and interesting IPs made them lots of cake.
The Gamecube came along, got beaten by both the Xbox and for sure by the PS2 in hardware sales. While Nintendo's 1st party franchises still sold well, the 3rd party was staring to take some major hits.
Enter the Wii. Sold very well in hardware sales, sold very well with first party titles, but most 3rd party games from major companies flopped due to not falling under the casual market that Nintendo so rigorously marketed to. Plus the motion control gimmick helped the Wii.
The Wii-U is the result of Nintendo going around 30 years without having to market to gamers who game as a hobby, and as such, they don't know how. Meanwhile the Nintendo die hards have been shrinking in number while the vocal minority on the internet has gotten louder in defense.
Look at these forums here for example. It's literally the same half dozen people stalwartly defending Nintendo against everyone else. And a good chunk of them are getting banned due to not being able to be civil.
With all that being said, I'd have to say, yes, Nintendo is mirroring mid 90s Sega at this point. The tipping point is probably going to be a major North American company saying "screw Nintendo" and we'll have another Dreamast situation on our hands. A great console with great Japanese developed games that are unfortunately too damn niche for North American/Europeans to get hooked into.
I honestly think it'll be Ubisoft that leaves that boot print on the back of the Wii-U's ass. They made a crap load of money off of all those exercise games, mini games, etc on the Wii. But they couldn't even sell Rayman well on it. Those exercise games were the Wii's bread and butter financially and they aren't coming back in strong form on the Wii U.