/nodding my headDon said:(anyone who's played as Russia in Empire may have noticed that Dagestan likes to go to war with you, regardless whether you have three full armies in the region)
The weird thing about Empire? With the 1.6 patch, the AI manages to be better and worse AT THE SAME TIME. Countries will think twice about declaring war if you put a full army by the border between your country and theirs...but countries YOU ARE ALLIED WITH won't hesitate to break the alliance the moment they think you're weak.
Which is why I think Napoleon's a much better game than Empire. I swear the tighter focus helped the AI.