Maze1125 said:
wooty said:
In terms of blowing sizable amounts of money on sheer probability, I think I'll stick to football betting.
Also, this story is pretty interesting considering gambling is illegal in Japan. Unless this is a loophole or not really "proper gambling".
As has already been said, if you don't win money, it's not illegal.
In fact, Japan generally has several casinos in every town, but you only win ball bearings which you trade in for items, such as food and other essentials, and so they're not illegal.
Is still think it's fraudulent in the same sense those psychic advisers are frauds. You give them money for predicting the future but there is only a small probability they'll be accurate to the point where it's a worthless guess or no better than using your own intuition of future events. And they can charge VAST sums of money for no reliable prophecy or removing a curse that never existed.
The scam here is implicit lies about the probability of winning and the value of the prize.
I know little about Japanese culture and society, I probably know enough to know I don't know anywhere near enough but I don't fully understand their broader attitudes towards chance and luck. If it is socially ingrained that when the odds are not known then it is good to assume the odds are in their favour - and they better hope it is that way as if that is not true they are "unlucky" or something and should seek to rectify that by - for example - spending vast sums of money to get the tokens that are "proof" of their personal luck.
In which case this is an scam as it exploits people's superstition and implicitly lies with the broader assumptions of personal luck/chance.
Again, I am not well versed on how Japanese society approaches chance, but I have detected a certain assumption of luck being associated as a personal characteristic and a positive one and if you aren't lucky then you are and inferior person that people won't want to hang around with.
I follow the science, the same dice has the same chance of landing on any given number whether thrown by a man who HAS BEEN lucky or one who has been unlucky. Any winning streak is an illusion for how of all the possibilities the winning streak will stand out the most and that winning streak will not necessarily continue. Chance of an outcome is determined by the action, not the worthiness of the beneficiary.
Is that what "Gacha" is selling? The illusion of providence?
It's telling that addictive gamblers keep a close record of how much money they have won yet spend so little of their winnings on actual material goods and services, they instead put most of their winnings back into the slot machines - I think - to help reaffirm they have the situation under control and they can "make" it win. Either by a system or by luck or by "I just gotta win". Could be Gatcha is doing the same thing but cutting out the winning and re-betting part, cutting directly to "proof of providence" with its virtual tokens?
I'm not against making a fair wager between two personal friends. But institutional gambling is far from a fair wager. I have been challenged to wagers and refused to accept them precisely because I know for a fact I have a huge chance of winning and it would be unfair for both of us to put down the same money. But institutionalised gambling asks everyone else to put the most money in and the house KNOWS it is most likely to win. That and it is of course a zero-sum game, no more wealth can come out of gambling than you can possibly put in. Video games you spend money employing people to turn worthless pixels into valuable art and entertainment.