Yes, that was my point. I fully understand the misrepresented class. I was trying to imply that dynamic of the problem when I said "The problem is that it's at least really hard to justify the first 4 premises without first showing that God exists," but looking back it's not very clear what I meant. It's hard to justify because it's not clear what properties God has, and there are an infinite number of mutually exclusive properties that could possibly be part of the nature of God.Logiclul said:You are falling victim to the misrepresented class. You must remember that there are thousands of religions, many of which directly contradict each other such that belief in another wherein the former is truth would result in damnation. The easy correlation is Islam to Christianity. It is not "is god real, or isn't god real", it is "is god 1 real, or is god 2 real... or is god n real, or isn't there any god?".
edit: by the way, what you presented isn't wrong for the reasons you described. You see, by making a decision matrix, we would find that believing God exists is the best option (IN THE SET YOU DESCRIBED, WHICH IS INACCURATE).
What I was arguing, however, was that the wager is not a fallacy, which is a plausible sounding argument that is nonetheless logically invalid. It's valid because the form is correct - the premises, if true, mean the conclusion must be true - and it is therefore not a logical fallacy. It is a fallacy in the non-technical sense, where the term simply refers to a mistaken belief, but since you put "logical" in all caps I figured you were talking about the philosophical sense of the word.
The longest responses always seem to go to the people I already agree with. Huh.