BNguyen said:
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basically it's coming down to a recreation of The Following, correct? (that is of course if you've seen the show, or at least know its basic plot)
I guess, I find that show almost painful to watch so I've mostly been avoiding it. It seems like the dumbest cops in the world, against an unrealistically capable of criminal who has a tendency to literally pull plot points out of his butt. Sort of like a Batman story where there is no Batman, just the Gotham police department trying to catch some super villain (and oddly they seem to be making exactly that show, which means people's tastes are running in that direction). At least with "The Mentalist" the absurd villain is opposed by an equally absurd hero so it kind of balances out conceptually.
I'm drawing a blank for some perfect examples (though oddly I had some in mind before I started posting this) but more realistically you might want to view it as something like how Pamela Smart seduced a stupid kid (one of her students) into murder, The Manson Cult, Jonestown, Heavy Metal/Rock and Roll suicides, or women getting obsessed with and even marrying inmates through pen pal programs and the like.
All my comments about extreme fringe theory (conspiracies, etc...) aside, I'd imagine there is a very straightforward series of events. What's more I doubt the guy who caused this is some kind of genius like the guy in "The Following" or "Red John" in "The Mentalist". If I had to make an early prediction (which is probably going to be wrong) I'd say it's a perfect storm of someone on the Internet with a malicious streak and a certain degree of online charisma running into a couple of unusually impressionable kids, goofing off with the, and then seeing how gullible they were and how much they needed to believe something incredible, or be a part of something, decided to see how far he could push things. Given the detached nature of the internet, the person who did it in this case might not have actually believed they were going to do it (but played it to the hilt to see how far it would go anyway). This is of course assuming all of this does indeed form a pattern, which may or may not be the case. After all when you look at something like "music suicides" in general it's a matter of some Rockers intentionally putting on intense performances, and then their weakest fans who are unusually into it, take a message like "suicide" and then go out and do it, it was not intentional on the part of the rockers, and while there appears to be a common thread (their music, or that style of music) it's actually isolated incidents inspired by the same thing (a "Stand Alone Complex" like they took to the Nth degree in "Ghost In The Shell"... numerous unrelated people inspired by the same source material doing the same thing without any actual director, the gimmick in that Anime for example being that the guy they thought was a mastermind did have followers but was actually simply another person inspired by the same manifesto against the cybertechnology companies). The point of this last bit being that it's also impossible that this was an accident, someone might have say been running a sort of covert "ultimate slenderman site" or pages connected to something like that Creepypasta wiki that were accessible only to obsessives by invitation. If presented entirely "in character" it might have convinced people, especially little kids, I mean look at how many people thought "Blair Witch" was real because of mockumentary promotions on Syfy. In such a case when this went down you might be seeing the usual reaction of "delete F@cking everything" explaining the lack of evidence, combined with the initial two girls at least insisting that the webmaster was really Slenderman (which could have been in-character on some generally unaccessible area of the site).
I don't know anything, I can just theorize, and there might not even be an overall connection (and the kids could of course be lying about some, or all, of what happened here... you'd be surprised how smart even 12 year olds can be). If there is one you'd be getting into some really rare territory (as this is a rare incident), but things like this have happened before. The truth though is unlikely to be as spectacular as something like "The Following". Of course then again, in Jonestown they willingly drank the Kool Aid, and everyone in "Heaven's Gate" had themselves surgically castrated and then committed mass suicide to try and catch the comet. As a general rule convincing people to kill (especially if they can be made they will benefit from it) tends to be easier than convincing them to kill themselves for you, so really at this point it's likely to be something bizzare, but I don't think it will be anything like on TV.
Oh and as a final note, I'll also say that when I was much younger, before the school shootings rampages and everything that seriously caused school security to go off the deep end (my generation wasn't like that) I used to joke around that if I ever did go on a murder rampage I'd claim I did it because of my D&D books. Namely because a lot of people thought that was weird, and guys like Jack Chic and various anti-RPG crusaders still had people on the fringes concerned about what gamers might do (even if that was dying out to some extent). Basically the "joke" was that I knew (as did most of my friends who were gamers) is that if I ever did anything extreme, I could get people on my side by selling myself as the victim. "Oh sure, I killed those people, but it wasn't because I hated them, or had anything to gain... those theories are wrong... Ed Greenwood, my High Warlock, contacted me through my Forgotten Realms campaign book and told me they had to die, and that if I killed them my soul would be guaranteed a place as a 20th level Elven Warrior-Mage in Abeir Toril once I passed on...". Understand there were people crazier than me who would believe that. That said, I could have a temper but was never actively homicidal (obviously). The point here being is that these girls were able to play this out for months, having some kind of story ready if all went wrong was not surprising. They know the whole "Slenderman" thing is creepy, yet mainstream enough to get attention, and something adults think is freaky. Both being fans (like a lot of people) they might have simply decided to commit a murder for the "usual" reasons (jealousy, etc...) and they decided ahead of time that if they were ever caught or things went wrong they would both spin stories about Slenderman and stick to them, that way the mental health officials and those "warning us about the fringe internet" would rally to their side as victims, and being young over time they would eventually probably get mercy/clemency even if the book was thrown at them in the beginning when the story was "hot" and "current", people forget about things like this, and that let's the defense build inertia. On a lot of levels this is actually the most "normal" theory, overlooked mostly because of the age (which is unwise, and the system having learned kids CAN do stuff like this is why there is so much pressure to prosecute them as adults). A lot depends on the investigation of course, and I'd imagine that since it's ongoing it's not that simple. Still this is pretty much where I think "Occam's Razor" would be leading given that it would require nobody to have convinced them online... of course this wouldn't explain the third girl (the one this article is about) who went after her mother, which would mean it was a totally separate incident, not even part of a "complex" coming from the same source... which is possible, but it seems unlikely given so many very similar crimes with very similar perpetrators happening all at once.