Yes.
Ethnic hatred has not been eradicated, and will not be eradicated in twenty years' time, so sunnis, shiites, christians, catholics, tamils, etc, etc, etc, will continue to murder one another with the objective of wiping 'the other' out.
Who doesn't want to murder at least one group of people, for whatever completely pointless reason? As long as we haven't been wiped out by each other/sentient computers, we'll want each other dead.
Of course, there will always be national poverty, and so there will always be nationalism, one way that a nationalist dictator stays in power is by blaming it on some small ethnicity, and therefore there will always be genocide - it's not like it there isn't a distrust towards certain ethnicities in countries today.
Genocide is, at base, an after-effect of other things. Genocide is rarely, if ever, a basic cause or intent of any group, no matter what they might claim.
What most violence stems from is hatred and ostracism, a 'me vs. them' philosophy which demonizes the 'them' to the point where people believe they have no right to exist.
Yes, law of averages. There are ~6.7 billion people on the planet that and number is only increasing. Chances are good at least one jackass will pull that shit somewhere in the next 20 years.
If my plans for world domination are not derailed by plucky young adventurers or a brilliant, mysterious detective who only goes by one letter, then yes.
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