Poll: A little math problem

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geizr

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Samirat post=18.73797.860044 said:
geizr post=18.73797.859505 said:
Are you sure this is true? Like, if you had a vertical and a horizontal filter, which theoretically prevented all light from passing, it would be opaque, correct? But if you put a 45 degree filter on it, are you saying it would actually become somewhat transparent? Because I'd have to try that. I'm not going to a 3-D movie, though, I'll find some other way.
Yes, it is quite true. I've done it myself many times(it's one of the things I like wowing people with when I am at 3D movies). If you have polarizing filters, you can use those. It's the same thing because that's what the 3D glasses are.

This is the prime example quantum mechanics instructors use to demonstrate the Stern-Gerlach experiment to first year graduate students in physics.
 

geizr

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Cheeze_Pavilion post=18.73797.860423 said:
Samirat post=18.73797.860044 said:
Are you sure this is true? Like, if you had a vertical and a horizontal filter, which theoretically prevented all light from passing, it would be opaque, correct? But if you put a 45 degree filter on it, are you saying it would actually become somewhat transparent? Because I'd have to try that. I'm not going to a 3-D movie, though, I'll find some other way.
Light does some freaky ass things that seem to defy the principle of sufficient causation itself.
I have no idea what this principle of sufficient causation is that you mention, but this is simple physics that is easily calculable by any junior year undergrad or first year graduate physics student. Nothing freaky about it. In fact, dealing with light is the easy stuff.

Now if you want freaky, try dealing with identical particle mixed states. There you find that the particles suffer an identity crisis. Particle1 actually will not be able to decide if it is particle1 or particle2, and particle2 will have the same trouble.
 

geizr

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Lukeje post=18.73797.860435 said:
Cheeze_Pavilion post=18.73797.860423 said:
Samirat post=18.73797.860044 said:
Are you sure this is true? Like, if you had a vertical and a horizontal filter, which theoretically prevented all light from passing, it would be opaque, correct? But if you put a 45 degree filter on it, are you saying it would actually become somewhat transparent? Because I'd have to try that. I'm not going to a 3-D movie, though, I'll find some other way.
Light does some freaky ass things that seem to defy the principle of sufficient causation itself.
Its... magic! (Or just a consequence of photons being particles travelling in waves... or waves that have the properties of particles... or both until you try to measure a property only strictly defined for one of the two...)
In this case with the polarizations, we are using the wave nature of the light. Explaining the truth of the wave-particle duality of nature is...hard. Really, really, freaking hard. And even harder to make real sense of it. You begin to understand it in a back-of-the-mind intuition, but it's impossible to really convey the true reality of it to anyone who is not well experienced with the math and machinery of quantum mechanics(I tried explaining eigenstates and eigenvalues to a friend of mine once. Got about half-way before he asked me to just stop). It seems easy at first to just say that it means things act like a particle and a wave. But, it's not until you start really truly thinking about it that you discover you don't really know what that truly means. We just know how to calculate it.
 

geizr

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Samirat post=18.73797.860044 said:
Are you sure this is true? Like, if you had a vertical and a horizontal filter, which theoretically prevented all light from passing, it would be opaque, correct? But if you put a 45 degree filter on it, are you saying it would actually become somewhat transparent? Because I'd have to try that. I'm not going to a 3-D movie, though, I'll find some other way.
Oh, just to be clear, it is critical that the 45-degree filter be placed between the vertical and horizontal filters, else it'll all just remain opaque.
 

Lukeje

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geizr post=18.73797.861414 said:
In this case with the polarizations, we are using the wave nature of the light. Explaining the truth of the wave-particle duality of nature is...hard. Really, really, freaking hard. And even harder to make real sense of it. You begin to understand it in a back-of-the-mind intuition, but it's impossible to really convey the true reality of it to anyone who is not well experienced with the math and machinery of quantum mechanics(I tried explaining eigenstates and eigenvalues to a friend of mine once. Got about half-way before he asked me to just stop). It seems easy at first to just say that it means things act like a particle and a wave. But, it's not until you start really truly thinking about it that you discover you don't really know what that truly means. We just know how to calculate it.
Its easier to think about it in an abstract way (i.e. via linear algebra [eigenstates/eigenfunctions]) than it actually is to conceptualise it.
 

beddo

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Fud post=18.73797.809286 said:
I was looking around on the internet, and I found something about Marilyn vos Savant. When I was reading about it I saw an interesting math problem. This was taken directly from Wikipedia, so I'm not certain about its accuracy in wording:

A shopkeeper says she has two new baby beagles to show you, but she doesn't know whether they're male, female, or a pair. You tell her that you want only a male, and she telephones the fellow who's giving them a bath. "Is at least one a male?" she asks him. "Yes!" she informs you with a smile. What is the probability that the other one is a male?
Please answer the poll before reading on.

I think Vos Savant said that it was a 1/3 chance, although the Wikipedia article wasn't very clear about it. However, I though it was interesting, and since this is seems to be a smart forum, I thought I'd ask it here.
This is just probablity. These questions are often counter-intuitive.

Two beagles, we know that at least one is male. The possible combinations:

MM
FF
MF
FM

So we know that FF is out leaving us with:

MM
FM
MF

So the chance that the other is a male is 1/3 and that the other is a female is 2/3.

Before you go saying that I'm wrong etc. I have a degree in mathematics and studied statistics all the way through ;).
 

aterimperator

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Oct 28, 2008
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This question is just a tricky way of asking what's the ratio between MM and MF/FM, but if you don't believe me, here's some c++ code to simulate it yourself:



#include
using namespace std;

#include // prototypes for rand and srand
using std::rand;
using std::srand;

#include // time for seeding rand
using std::time;


inline int coinflip()
{
return rand()%2; //returns either 0 or 1 (heads or tails)
}

int main(int argc, char *argv[])
{
int n=1000000; //sample size for simulation
int coinFlipValue[2];
int results[2];
results[0]=0;
results[1]=0;
srand( static_cast( time( 0 ) ) );
for(int i=0; i<n; i++)
{
coinFlipValue[0]=0; // so past values don't affect current results
coinFlipValue[1]=0; // we simply clear the values
coinFlipValue[coinflip()]++; //flip coin 1
coinFlipValue[coinflip()]++; //flip coin 2
// cout << coinFlipValue[0] << endl << coinFlipValue[1] << endl;
// cout << coinflip() << endl;
if(coinFlipValue[0]) //conditional that says "if at least 1 of them is heads"
{
if(1<coinFlipValue[0]) //conditional that says "if both are heads"
{
results[0]++;
}
else //if they're not both heads, than up the tails count instead
{
results[1]++;
}
}
}
cout << "# of heads: " << results[0] << endl;
cout << "# of tails: " << results[1] << endl;
system("PAUSE");
return EXIT_SUCCESS;
}
 

Samirat

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geizr post=18.73797.861422 said:
Samirat post=18.73797.860044 said:
Are you sure this is true? Like, if you had a vertical and a horizontal filter, which theoretically prevented all light from passing, it would be opaque, correct? But if you put a 45 degree filter on it, are you saying it would actually become somewhat transparent? Because I'd have to try that. I'm not going to a 3-D movie, though, I'll find some other way.
Oh, just to be clear, it is critical that the 45-degree filter be placed between the vertical and horizontal filters, else it'll all just remain opaque.
So, is this the idea? After the light passes through the horizontal filter, the light's polarization is known as horizontal. Therefore none will pass through the vertical filter. But if there is a 45 degree filter after the horizontal filter, the light that passes through will be of unknown polarization, even though it was previously all known to be horizontal, since light passing through a 45 degree filter could be either horizontal or vertical. Therefore, some of the light will pass through the vertical filter. 50 percent of light through the horizontal filter, 25 percent through the 45 degree filter, and 12.5 percent through the final, vertical filter, I'd guess.

Yeah, the 45 degree filter would have to be between, since it essentially scrambles the polarizations by destroying what knowledge you had of them. Not logical, of course, but that's quantum mechanics.
 

geizr

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Samirat said:
geizr post=18.73797.861422 said:
Samirat post=18.73797.860044 said:
Are you sure this is true? Like, if you had a vertical and a horizontal filter, which theoretically prevented all light from passing, it would be opaque, correct? But if you put a 45 degree filter on it, are you saying it would actually become somewhat transparent? Because I'd have to try that. I'm not going to a 3-D movie, though, I'll find some other way.
Oh, just to be clear, it is critical that the 45-degree filter be placed between the vertical and horizontal filters, else it'll all just remain opaque.
So, is this the idea? After the light passes through the horizontal filter, the light's polarization is known as horizontal. Therefore none will pass through the vertical filter. But if there is a 45 degree filter after the horizontal filter, the light that passes through will be of unknown polarization, even though it was previously all known to be horizontal, since light passing through a 45 degree filter could be either horizontal or vertical. Therefore, some of the light will pass through the vertical filter. 50 percent of light through the horizontal filter, 25 percent through the 45 degree filter, and 12.5 percent through the final, vertical filter, I'd guess.

Yeah, the 45 degree filter would have to be between, since it essentially scrambles the polarizations by destroying what knowledge you had of them. Not logical, of course, but that's quantum mechanics.
You have the basic idea with just one misstep in understanding. The 45-degree filter doesn't make the light have unknown polarization; it makes the light have a 45-degree polarization. However, the 45-degree polarization is split equally between vertical and horizontal polarizations. So, in that sense it does destroy information about the polarization coming out of the horizontal filter, just as the last vertical filter destroys the information about the 45-degree filter.

Like I said, I've always found this a fun trick to demonstrate to people whenever I go to a 3D movie that uses the polarized lenses(which most good ones do), instead of the red/blue lenses(it doesn't work with those cause they are not polarized).
 

geizr

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Lukeje said:
geizr post=18.73797.861414 said:
In this case with the polarizations, we are using the wave nature of the light. Explaining the truth of the wave-particle duality of nature is...hard. Really, really, freaking hard. And even harder to make real sense of it. You begin to understand it in a back-of-the-mind intuition, but it's impossible to really convey the true reality of it to anyone who is not well experienced with the math and machinery of quantum mechanics(I tried explaining eigenstates and eigenvalues to a friend of mine once. Got about half-way before he asked me to just stop). It seems easy at first to just say that it means things act like a particle and a wave. But, it's not until you start really truly thinking about it that you discover you don't really know what that truly means. We just know how to calculate it.
Its easier to think about it in an abstract way (i.e. via linear algebra [eigenstates/eigenfunctions]) than it actually is to conceptualise it.
That's one of the main problems with the higher level physics. You can calculate the stuff, but it's hella hard to understand what it really means. It takes many years of experience to gain that insight, and there are aspects that you may never gain that insight with(such as wave-particle duality).
 

Alex_P

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Mar 27, 2008
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Cheeze,

Forget frequentism. It's clearly confusing you.

Use Bayes' theorem [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes%27_theorem].

Frequentism sucks anyway.

-- Alex
 

Valiance

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Isn't it 66%?

1/3 chance of male, 1/3 chance of female, 1/3 chance of it being a male/male pair?

Or would that just count as male, in which case it really is 50% and I'm over analyzing this.
 

Alex_P

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Mar 27, 2008
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Cheeze_Pavilion said:
Just think of it this way: would you give four-to-one odds on two coin flips coming up heads? Then why are you saying that MM has a P = 1/4?
The odds of two coin flips both coming up heads are 1/4, yes.

-- Alex
 

Alex_P

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Mar 27, 2008
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Cheeze_Pavilion said:
Can you give me a source on that?
Err, google "two coins probability" or something. ;)

This text [http://books.google.com/books?id=L6IWgaCuilwC&pg=PA14&lpg=PA14&dq=two+coins+probability&source=bl&ots=yzBvncg2JA&sig=agzX9UzzqBDkmHuhheVo7Tg40_Q&hl=en&ei=2tK8ScjRD8G0twfyseX2Cw&sa=X&oi=book_result&resnum=1&ct=result] may be helpful.

-- Alex