Eve Charm said:
The Danger said:
Eve Charm said:
Well it makes a perfect benchmark, it's giving what everyone is up in arms about especially while GTA not having a female lead is hot on the mind.
That's like me making shit pie and then, after no one wants it, I conclude that no one actually likes pie. It's a bullshit benchmark.
Well if a ton of people wanted a cherry crap pie to make heavy rain a greatest hit which is selling over at least 400,000 in the first 9 months and no where near as many want a apple crap pie, more people want cherry then apple if everything else is basically the same.
Your also over estimating that the average consumer really knows a damn thing about David cage or QT besides the other games.
From what I gather, you're running a ceteris paribus argument with shit-pies. First time, people buy "cherry crap pies;" second time around, if no one buys the "apple crap pies," then--according to you--it can ONLY MEAN that people like cherry more than apple.
Stop and think about how insane that is. It might make it easier to pretend that the people don't know they're buying pies with shit in them the first time around. After all, Cage didn't exactly advertise his games' shittiness.
So you go to a stall and buy some pie. Lo and behold, when you take your first bite, you literally ate shit. Disgusted, you throw the pie to the ground, yell at the vendor, and storm off.
The next day, you see the same guy, except today he's selling "apple pies." Your friend asks you if you want one. You say no. Your friend then asks, "What, don't like apple?"
Realistically, what are you going to say to your friend? Probably something like "No, apple's fine, but that guy sells pies with shit in them. Like, literal fecal matter. DO NOT BUY ONE."
Do you see how alternative factors may play into this game's success/failure, perhaps to a larger extent than you originally thought? If people don't buy Beyond Two Souls--and I don't think it'll sell very well at all--it WON'T be because it's "apple" rather than "cherry," i.e. has a female protagonist rather than a male one. It will be because everyone's told about everyone, at this point, to at least be cautious when buying from pie-vendor David Cage, because he has been known to sell games that are at least 70% shit.
You made a second point about the "average gamer" not knowing anything about Cage or QT. I think this "average gamer" is one of two kinds. The first doesn't know anything about Heavy Rain or Indigo Prophecy either. If this gamer is of this kind, then he or she won't buy BTS anyway, because it's not CoD or GTA or any other recognizable brand name. No offense to anyone who hasn't heard of Heavy Rain, but if you didn't hear about Heavy Rain, you're not paying attention to video games. Returning to the pie vendor analogy, this person refuses to eat anything other than pizza, so he or she will never, ever buy pie to begin with.
The second kind of "average gamer" has at least heard about Heavy Rain enough to know what kind of game it is, but never bought it. Odds are, they didn't buy it because they didn't care for the "story-driven" (i.e. QTE-driven) nature of the game. Returning again to our tortured analogy of the pie vendor, this person again will not buy pie: the flavor of the pie in their decision doesn't matter, because it's pie, and pie isn't very good to them.
Both kinds of "average gamer" are already less likely to buy Cage's games, regardless of its "flavor" or the gender of the protagonist.
For these reasons, I think your use of BTS is incredibly biased, and you really ought to reconsider.