Delta4845 post=18.73207.788566 said:
It's always tied to transportation and fuel
for example; Britain had Coal and the largest navy
as oil became big in the 1920's and a war had already depleted their navy;
then another war broke out an isolationist country started sociallizing
10 years later America takes over with oil and highest Aero space engineering,
so China relies on oil as well, so as soon as another country perfects alternative fuels
I fear very little from the world,
So... Brazil? I mean, they are leading the world in terms of bio-fuels and ethanol, so according to you, they have a good chance of becoming the next world superpower? Good...
Edit:
EnzoHonda post=18.73207.788543 said:
India's a dark horse. Similar to China in some ways, waaaaay different in others. A billion people, massive difference between depressing poverty and huge wealth, lots of social issues. But it's a democracy. That doesn't solve everything, but it should help keep the place from imploding. One interesting thing I read a while ago was the big difference in potential between India and China is the type of workers that are most common. China has a lot of manufacturing an labourers, but much of it is borrowed. India has a booming, knowledge-based economy. There are some who feel that China will peak too soon while India will chug along. I'm not too sure of this argument because I haven't looked at it much.
I'm agreeing with your assessment of India's position.
Though, and this is what really sets it apart from China, India has a major share in the IT industry, meaning that even if nations and TNCs slow down their demand for mass produced goods, India still has the major IT market to keep it going, which will last for a very long time. I mean, if Wall Street crashes, pretty much all countries will end up losing business in the secondary industry (except for, say, North Korea, what with their closed economy and all). Thing is, India still has its IT industry, which, while it will take a massive hit in the public sales, will still have the massive market with governments and other major TNCs.