Wanna know what else I believe? Eating too much makes you fat. No I haven't seen the studies that prove, beyond the shadow of a doubt, that eating too much makes you fat, but since food contains calories, and fat is how the body stores excess calories, I can reasonably infer that most people who eat too much will get fat. Is that always true? NO! People metabolize food at different rates, and some people have glandular problems! And yet, I can still say that eating too much probably makes most people fat, and most people who are fat are that way because they eat too much.Katatori-kun said:Are they? Have you done the study? Have you seen the numbers? Or are you just assuming that because it feels right.DanDeFool said:Look, buddy, you can sit there splitting hairs until your fingers fall off, but that only demonstrates to me that you've missed my original point. My point being, confident people are usually more successful than people who lack confidence.
You're not supporting the same claim I took issue with. You originally claimed confidence is evidence of success, and you're now trying to justify that with the claim that success can lead to confidence. Since we know that people can be confident without being successful, then we can't claim that confidence is an indicator of success.If you try something, and succeed at it more often than not, you'll be confident in your ability to do that specific thing.
If you try something, and fail more often than you succeed, you won't be as confident.
If you try lots of different things, and succeed at many of them, you'll probably be more confident in general. If you fail at a lot of things, you'll probably be less confident in general.
Can we agree on that?
Now if you wanted to argue that successful people should be confident, then you'd have a claim I'd take less issue with. But that would have very little relevance to the thread.
Similarly, I WAS arguing my original point. I infer that confidence implies successfulness because most people become confident in their abilities after they succeed. Am I saying it's a 1-1 correlation? Am I saying that there AREN'T confident people who are unsuccessful, or people who lack confidence but still succeed? No! But just like fatness and overeating, I think there's a casual link between confidence and success that you can use to explain why people like confidence.
Let me ask you a question. If you can't infer successfulness from confidence, then what can you infer from it? What's your explanation for why some people are more confident than others?