Why Justin Bieber won't last... (speculation)

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BonsaiK

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Nov 14, 2007
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BobDobolina said:
BonsaiK said:
That's still a technical skill. Singing a song in a way that makes people emotionally connect with it is not a magical gift from fairyland, it's an ability that can be taught.
To an extent. But not everyone you teach it to will pick it up with the same facility or be able to develop it to the same level. Everyone who picks up a saxophone will not become Coleman Hawkins or Dexter Gordon or John Coltrane. Everyone who picks up a trumpet will not become Miles Davis. And everyone who trains as a singer and dancer will not become Michael Jackson.

You just have to watch old footage of him in concert to see this principle in action. Many of the people who performed alongside him, singing and dancing, started doing both intensively from a very young age, just as he did. Not one of them could match his precision as a dancer or his power as a singer. The education part is called training; the native abilities we bring to the education are what we usually call talent.

Comparing Justin Bieber to Michael Jackson as a talent is fanciful. It is perfectly correct, however, to say that he's a likely match of Justin Timberlake or Robbie Williams as a musical talent. Which would be more than enough.
People romanticise so-called "innate" abilities but there's little truly innate biological mystery to it - behind almost every child prodigy is some serious "parental motivation". Michael was certainly very typical in that regard, he was trained like a ************ the old school way, with a whip (literally). On the other hand, Justin taught himself. If we're going to go down this road, if anything, Justin has far more innate "talent" and far less "training".


How old is he in that first shot - 2? 3? He already understands syncopation, something half of grown adults struggle with even understanding, let alone doing. I couldn't even speak when I was that age let alone know what an offbeat snare was. And nobody taught him this...
 

TheYellowCellPhone

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Macgyvercas said:
TheYellowCellPhone said:
It always happens with these pop sensations. They get huge popularity, tons of money, lots of songs, then after some time they're gone, only to be heard of years later when they died of snorting of coke off of a car engine or something.

It's happened with many people, lots of which are one-hit wonders, namely bands.
Quoted for truth. Such is the nature of the music industry.

And holy crappin christ! You changed your avatar! What's the new one say?
It's been changed for several days now.

Here's a larger image of it.



EDIT: For ultimate "d'awwww"-ness, look at my profile picture.
 

Valkyrie101

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rockingnic said:
Well, look at MJ. He started out as a kid and he still performed up to the day he died.
I don't like his music, but I'll concede that he was very talented, and his fans liked him because he was a good singer, not because he was attractive.
 

Valkyrie101

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NAHTZEE said:
I don't like getting my ears raped by him. when he fades away and dies by chocking on his own vomit after a coke overdose, Rebecca black will come finish the job with her auto tuned ear raping bullshit. I hope sabaton and two steps from he'll will release a new album
Maybe they'll include his death screams on said album. Joakim Broden looks like he might be able to tear the Bieber limb from limb.
 

Eatbrainz

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In 10 year's time we'll all look back on Justin Bieber the same way we do with Vanilla Ice.
 

Toaster Hunter

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He can last, but only if he reinvents himself. In the 1940's Frank Sinatra was the same way, considered little more than a sensation among young women and no one though he would last more than a few years. In the 50s and 60s, however he took on challenging film roles (From Here to Eternity) and changed his image from a pop sensation to martini drinking epitome of cool.

Bieber can do the same, in theory, but I doubt it. Honestly, he'll probably be forgotten inside of two years, and that's being generous. I can see him on some VH1 reality show ten years from now.
 

lwm3398

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TheXRatedDodo said:
Hilariously enough, they started to make art after Bob Dylan introduced them to ganja.
Art in the form of an il-legalized green little plant. Not that I partake, but those who do in a creative field are usually a lot better than others that don't. And that Nepal soul-search I mention in my post? You thought that wouldn't involve some kind of mind-alter-er?

Azrael the Cat said:
Some big differences, though. The Beatles wrote their own music, and the absence of self-songwriting (writing your own godawful lyrics on a couple of tracks doesn't count) is enough by itself to prevent the current teen idols from being taken seriously.
This was something that crossed my mind that I forgot to say something about. He doesn't have much songwriting skill or musical skill, and that was something I thought would very much prevent him from getting to Beatles level as an ARTIST and not a POP SINGER. And now that you've reminded me of that, shit, I have no more faith in Bieber.

Gaga, maybe, as she can sing and play piano. Bieber, no.

Thirdly - and VERY importantly - the British pop market always been a very very different beast to American pop. British pop has included numerous bands than in the American market would be classified as indie or alternative: Blur, The Cure (who invented the term Britpop), The Church, Queen, Oasis, Pulp amongst many others. The Beatles are squarely a part of that pop tradition - where pop music means songs that are short and catchy, but are also self-written and creative.
Alternative, in Americo-speak, is possibly the only genre with stations devoted to it that is still tolerable to me. I can't stand our pop, mostly because it leads me to believe music is dead.

If the pop station I often listen to (Hating modern music doesn't mean I should stay a recluse and listen only to records. Besides, I can keep an eye out for a new pop ARTIST this way) were to somehow go off the air and be replaced with anything that played The Gorillaz, The Cure, and Oasis, trust me, I'd be incredibly glad.

Pop, in the British market, differentiates it from from the long guitar-solo-heavy music of bands in the Led Zepellin/Rolling Stones tradition. The Brits have their teen idols as well, but they don't own the pop market in the way that the US teen idols do. Part of that is that pop just has bad connotations in the US, causing talented artists who write their own work to avoid the genre/title, instead calling themselves 'indie'.
Anything considered "Indie" here (Beck, The Raconteurs, etc.) would get at least moderately popular in Britain, I assume. Due in part to people there being used to actual instruments that aren't just guitars and drums (Horns and non-synthesized strings are mostly what I mean) being used in pop songs. That's what I hate about genre-lovers in the US.

Look at all of these with the prefix "mainstream."

Pop lovers are used to auto-tune, synthesizers, and shitty lyrics.

Hip-hop lovers are used to all of that same stuff, only now the lyrics are even worse (at times). And usually talk about how "underground" the "hood" is and how "rags to riches" the singer is. Also, they wouldn't talk to me again if I implied Atmosphere was way more "fuckin' hood" than Lil Wayne (with half the effort).

Rock lovers have never heard a proper rock song.

But don't confuse the pop tradition of the Beatles/Cure/Smiths/Blur/Oasis/Pulp with the pop tradition of New Kids on the Block/Boyzone/Boys2Men/Sclub7/Britney Spears/Agueillera/Beiber tradition and assume that they're part of the same genre. Same word, both talking about short songs of 3-4 minutes with emphasised choruses, but very very different musical traditions.
That last bit about musical traditions is the largest problem. The American youth is so used to pop being repetitive, auto-tuned and about nothing except parties that they close themselves off to genuinely meaningful songs that take effort to listen to. I have never once listened to "The Woman with the Tattooed Hands" without actually having to LISTEN to the lyrics. Why? Because lyrics are now a secondary product, and Atmosphere is too. Even if their sound quality and lyrical cleverness/meaningfulness is above most other bands I've heard. Have you heard a popular song tell a story that wasn't about love? A song that was about poverty, and hopelessness, or suicide, or the screwed up childhood of one Sean "Slug" Daley?

No. Because songs like that take effort to listen to.

You've got me ranting about something totally different than Bieber now, so I'll leave on this note:

What will be will be. A shining star may appear out of nowhere someday, and I might catch the tail end of this star's song on a pop station, and I will cry tears of joy at taste in and skill creating music becoming a common trait again.

Or maybe I'll stay bitter and listen to "American Indie/Alternative" music for the rest of my life.

And you know what? I might be happy with that.
 

BonsaiK

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BobDobolina said:
BonsaiK said:
People romanticise so-called "innate" abilities but there's little truly innate biological mystery to it
I simply don't buy that innate ability is a "romantic" notion, sorry; you're ass-talking. The role of parental motivation with child prodigies is of course well worth taking into account, but lots of parents attempt that and lots of them do not produce talents like Michael Jackson. For that matter, his siblings all went through the same wringer Michael did -- he was originally part of the "Jackson Five," remember? -- and did not match their brother's gifts. (EDIT: Which is to take nothing away from Bieber's evident gifts, of course. As you note, he's obviously talented. Probably about four in that initial shot, incidentally. Is he on the level where he'll actually revolutionize pop music as figures like Prince or MJ did? I wouldn't bet that way, but that doesn't mean he isn't obscenely talented.)
There's a reason why Michael eclipsed his brothers, Michael was the youngest, and "trained" harder thant he others, and from an earlier age. His dad realised (correctly) that a very young, cute kid performing was money in the bank and having him front and center would appeal to audiences on novelty value far more than the older siblings.

Who knows if Bieber will actually change anything in the pop realm. It seems doubtful, because few ever do, but all I'm saying is that the potential is there. I mean, basically, we agree.
 

Dango

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If Aaron Carter is any indication, Justin Bieber will be a drug addict within the next decade.
 

The Night Shade

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Too much fame and money too quick that means that he is going to fade away.
Seriously the great legends of music started low but this kid started with a lot of fame,long-lasting musicians don't become famous or popular quick they take time.
 

Buizel91

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Aug 25, 2008
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008Zulu said:
Once he turns 18, Disney will kick him to the curb in favour of some other young teen wannabe-idol. As long as he keeps auto-tuning his "work", his voice will never change.
This is what narks me -.- he isn't with Disney, he never was, he was founded by Usher on Youtube -.-

People really need to get their facts straight before they start criticizing someone instead of just assuming.

OT: He probably will die out, but your kinda wrong with the Jonas brothers, last i heard, Nick (the younger one) was doing a solo project called "The Administration"

The other 2, probs taking a break.

But yeh he could die out, many other teen sensations have.
 

Buizel91

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Aug 25, 2008
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DesiPrinceX09 said:
chupacabrawolf said:
Anybody remember Aaron Carter? He was exactly like Justin Bieber; A Pop singing, teenage male with tons of screaming fangirls. I have not heard anything about him for along awhile.
I just looked it up and his last alblum came out in 2002.
I feel this is exactly what will happen to Justin Bieber, he will just fade into obscurity.
Ah yes Aaron Carter, brother of Nick Carter from the Backstreet boys if I remember correctly. I remember him being pretty big kind of like Mr. Bieber. Hopefully you're right about this one, because I am sick to death about hearing about this twat. At least Aaron Carter went through puberty and actually looked and sounded like a guy, girly boys like Bieber seems to be what every girl wants now.
Speaking of Backstreet boys...they are still singing :p

(saw it on my facebook news feed...shush)

Tbh i thought they died years ago.
 

chowderface

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Nov 18, 2009
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ninjastovall0 said:
chowderface said:
TrevorGruen said:
his voice will change into something that i predict will sound like Alvin and the chipmunks on ridlin.
If you slow down Alvin and the Chipmunks they sound like three bored guys singing for a paycheck, and Dave sounds like a demon from the bowels of Hell.
Patton Oswalt?
Yes. Also, Youtube.
 

cookieXkiller

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Mar 7, 2010
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BanthaFodder said:
gostlyfantom said:
he shall fail when his balls drop( i am joking)

OT: i complety agree with you, soon we shall be getting eear raped by a new teen idol.
of course you're joking, girls don't have BALLS!
but traps do
o.o
OT;; give it to the end of this year, theres bound to be another sensation hiding somewhere.
And when it is found I still wont care, I shall be busy with new suicide silence and Born Of Osiris.