Waffle_Man said:
I know that you're trying to make that point. What I'm trying to get across is that there is such a large difference governing how people would interact with beings across a trillion miles vs a few hundred or thousand and how people would interact with species that can only be reached through very technologically and fuel intensive means vs a three week march. Just as there is a difference with how one would interact with a family member who lives next door vs. one who lives on the other side of the world.
I'm aware there was a difference in scale. But, again, history has shown quite an easy to follow trend. In the earliest parts of recorded history we fought with one another for a variety of reasons with those who could be reached by a reasonable army on foot. The technology limited maximum engagement size and range. Time progressed and maximum engagement size and range increased - no longer just the neighboring tribal lands but neighboring cities and kingdoms. Later still nations and continents.
What has been proposed is a device that makes the
nearest star reachable in a similar amount of time as the new world was in the age of sail. Wars of
conquest were launched when doing so greatly taxed nations in spite of the abundance of resources they had at their disposal.
To put it another way - there are 53 known stars or brown dwarfs within 10 light years of earth - defining a maximum one way trip of 1 year (a feat equaled repeatedly in the age of sail, albeit with several stops along the way). Of those, five are currently believed to have planets. Do any of them have life? Probably not - but that's not really important - it simply demonstrates that our very local space is packed with stuff when the speed of light is a trivial concern.
Given that the question explicitly states that we are the most advanced life
in the galaxy, it can be assumed that we have the means to explore a significant percentage of the universe. Which directly implies that that 10c speed limit probably doesn't come in to play since a trip from our side to galactic center would take a few millenia at that speed - slow enough that any inventory would take millions of ships thousands of years to complete.
Thus, given the operating parameters of the thought experiment, it stands to reason that if we
know this information, then we have a means to gather a sufficient force of FTL vessels that travel at a significant enough speed in excess of c to be useful for resource gathering or conflict.
Waffle_Man said:
The point isn't that someone couldn't start a war with aliens for petty reasons and then justify it, it's that such a conflict would be so resource intensive that it would be hard to purposefully be petty in such a situation.
A
petty reason is a matter of perspective. Recapturing the holy land was done because some guy who might have been the son of god may have lived his life there. That's a fairly petty reason. But sufficient to launch a number of crusades in an age when attempting to support such a conflict was
madness.
Waffle_Man said:
Granted, I suppose I am under the assumption that we won't have a bunch of star trek space magic that allows us to travel with seemingly endless amount of fuel and with the ability to fix complicated stuff in transit, thus making any conceivable journey a very big and risky investment. My bad for not mentioning that.
In the scenario we have the power to explore a significant subset of the set of stars that have planets in our galaxy. Magic
certainly seems to be involved to me.
Waffle_Man said:
Care to name an instance where an entire society decided to be dickish solely for the hell of it at a great cost of resources without some sort of material gain?
Entire societies? There aren't any because such people could not make a society. Plenty of individuals though. This being a cause for violence supposes it is possible for an individual or small collective to possess the means of interstellar travel. Arranging for violence upon arrival is trivial if that first condition is met.
Waffle_Man said:
It would take a lot for enough people to get behind such a belief system with strong enough conviction to expend an untold amount of earth's wealth on a force capable of doing all sorts of nasty things to an extra-terrestrial race trillions of miles away.
And, yet, societies have done that repeatedly. It may be a rare occurrence in the grand history of human conflict but it happens often enough to be useful.
Waffle_Man said:
I suppose some huge paradigm shift in the entirety of astronomy might reveal some unforeseen thing that happens to exist only on the planet in question, but until then, it's impossible to describe just how many raw materials are accessible from decidedly less habitable places. I suppose a fringe scenario is that earth is facing imminent doom and we find a planet that we can live on which is already habitable. It's still indescribably improbable though.
The value and utility of a resource vary depending upon proximity to a willing market.
I don't necessarily disagree with your point here - just that it is conceivable that circumstances could align to make conflict a possible solution to a resource shortage.
Waffle_Man said:
Of course, I could just turn that assumption on it's head and say that it's an assumption on your part that they would even have any resources worth having, but I don't need to.
Again, the worth of a resource (any resource) is relative. That relative bit is the part that's impossible to judge without having a very clear picture of what the galaxy looks like in this theoretical situation.
Waffle_Man said:
Any situation in which we do something for aid makes many assumptions. Unless we live in some sort of Star Trek-esq universe inhabited by all sorts of intergalactic intrigue, why would someone have a preexisting hate of an extra-terrestrial race?
Yes. I'm assuming the existence of at least three parties, one of whom lobbies another for aid against a third. I'm not assuming anything about those parties save that at least one of them is an alien possessing inferior technology and one of them is composed of some subset of humanity.
Waffle_Man said:
Blowing up buildings and "looking at us funny" are a world apart. Aside from that, not all of the middle east is as backwater and primitive as some westerns like to make out. Israel isn't exactly afraid of Iran developing an oversize slingshot.
Understatement is a rhetorical device. My point is no terrorist group known to the world possesses anywhere near the power the US wields and yet people often fear and hate them nontheless.
Waffle_Man said:
I suppose all trade is just another means of keeping the man down.
Some economic systems are designed for that purpose, yes.
More to the point, the 20th century saw more than 200 wars fought. Nations around the world often define themselves by wars of old. Examining the progress of society from the most ancient days of recorded history to present will show that the only thing sufficient to cause significant change with any reliability has been violence. Nations destroyed in such conflicts are dimly remembered. Any society that exists today is the result of countless wars leading to countless new societies each built upon the bones of what came before.
Waffle_Man said:
Ok, but how exactly do extra-terrestrials affect scarcity and supply on earth? Because both of them, being the two primary agitators in a conflict, would likely not be present in such an interaction.
Once again, any answer to this question is impossible without making grand suppositions beyond the scope of the thought experiment.
In one example, there is a resource of importance (say helium) to a human group. There are at least two sources of helium available - one from a gas giant where a 12 month round trip is necessary and another a mere month away. The latter is populated by a technologically inferior race who refuses to trade for the element. The cost savings of a shorter route are enormous and there exists one or more groups in this human element with the means to take the element by force.
In this insane scenario I just made up (that makes sweeping assumptions about travel, resource need and so forth which is required to have any accurate answer - which is why I've refrained from such things so far), I have demonstrated scarcity and supply that may prove sufficient casus belli.
Waffle_Man said:
That on a completely different scale for a very tangible gain (on the invader's part). I very much doubt that the Americas would have been brutalized to the point that they were if it weren't for the considerable booty to be had. Plus, the difficulty of crossing an ocean and running into a land form is a bit more difficult than traveling across a solar system.
Scale is variable as is potential gain. We can explore the galaxy freely. The reasonable maximum distance of travel for some gain in such a scenario presents is staggeringly huge.
My assertion is fundamentally that history has proven we will generally find a reason for violence of all sorts.
Waffle_Man said:
When you travel on a boat over the ocean, even using primitive technology, you can cover the distance in a couple of months. Going ten times the speed of light (the maximum theoretical proposed speed of the warp drive in question), it would still take a minimum of thirty six years to reach Pleides, the nearest star cluster. There is a difference.
Answered above I think.
Waffle_Man said:
I suppose you could draw parallels between people using religion to justify racism and justification for oppressing extra-terrestrials, but it would be making assumptions. Most of the irrational things that religion causes people to cling on to came from some practical need (regardless of how removed it became). What practical concern would cause all of the aliens to be hated all of the sudden?
Practical in the modern context? Hard to say. But as far as sociologists and psychologists can tell, people aren't exactly wired for practicality when it comes to group behavioral dynamics. Why is it practical to root for a particular sports team? Why is it practical for a handful of nations to control much of a given resource? Why is it practical for social cliques to form? Why is it practical that tension exist between such cliques?
These are all examples of a behavior that is largely no longer necessary. Sufficient resources exist for the reasonable survival and comfort of all people and the behaviors that drive us to such things has long ceased being terribly useful.
Is it possible that eventually these behaviors will vanish? Certainly. Is it possible that a technology will exist that make any concerns of resource irrelevant? Certainly. I'm just not betting on it. My bet is that somewhere between being able to explore the galaxy and solving the various problems above once and for all, there will be a time where people are not utterly pragmatic, where scarcity is still a problem and where we find someone that has something we want and is conveniently located. Because that is human history briefly expressed.