JDKJ said:
This isn't the bankruptcy that the article makes it sound like. It's not just clean up costs. It's total costs. Sony can and will easily weather $24 billion IN TOTAL COSTS. TOTAL COSTS. TOTAL COSTS. TOTAL COSTS. TOTAL COSTS.
Actually, no, they can't. Using the figures from their FY10 statements (which was the year they were making money as opposed to losing money or breaking even), Sony's adjusted operating income (which includes affiliate net income and equity) was a little under 4 billion in USD. This was for ALL of Sony's business and not just the video game division.
So, for Sony to absorb this loss, they would have to be able to post the same adjusted income (which, with the loss in consumer confidence, is an improbable statement) for the next 6 years just to break even after $24.5 billion added to their total costs. When they first released the PS3, they had $9 billion in liquid assets but they were burning through that up until 2009 when their losses were down to a few hundred million. So, presuming that they devoted 2010 income to replenishing their savings, they would optimisticly have 6 billion saved. Even with that, that would still be 4 and a half years of breaking even with income remaining at 2010 levels.
And this presumes that the economy doesn't weaken, consumer demand remains high, there are no class-action lawsuits, and people are still interested in the PS3 years down the road. Even if they broke the 24.5 billion up into a ten year payment plan that didn't charge any interest, this would still be an near-impossible burden to shoulder.
Now, given that the Escapist tends toward a lot of sensationalist "The Sky is Falling" stories, I don't think that the penalties will be this high. But, if they are, Sony is pretty much "dead man walking". The only variable at that point will be to see how badly the rest of the gaming market crashes if Sony does go down in flames. The people cheering this might find out firsthand what it was like in the 1983 gaming crash.....which would actually be kind of hilarious.