[HEADING=2]This industry is fast heading into BANKRUPTCY and we're still ticked at DRM?[/HEADING]
Are you all for-real? Emily Rogers of NotEnoughShaders has posted an article on the state of console platforms [http://www.notenoughshaders.com/2012/07/02/the-rise-of-costs-the-fall-of-gaming/] that you should all at least glance through after reading this.
Emily predicts with hard stats that the next gen launch will cripple the industry.
This last generation of consoles has killed off over 120 Developer Studios. As publishers invest in more Hollywood blockbuster games (ever sure of a grand slam in sales), this industry will turn into a market bubble [https://www.google.com/search?q=what+is+a+market+bubble&aq=f&oq=what+is+a+market+bubble&aqs=chrome.0.57j0l3j60l2.3710j0&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8]. This is how the US and Europe hit a freaking recession.
[h4]Just like Congress avoiding the economic
plight of the US, the gaming community and media has turned its attention to more
serviceable, socially trendy problems like sexism in gaming,
or how big-bad DRM is ruining the industry.[/h4]
[HEADING=3]Triple AAA games have budgets bigger than Movies[/HEADING]
It's a great assumption that when a company sells fewer titles than expected, that it will invest fewer resources into one title; but just the opposite has happened. Because publishers need to watch out for the bottom line (i.e investors), they need to take bigger gambles and have bigger payoffs.
And this problem has now been amp'd to a whole new scale as triple-A title costs will skyrocket even higher to cover the new and more complex engines.
[h4]
Not to mention the platforms PS4, PC & Xbox720.
So which console gets the most sales?
Who wins the big chunk of the $?
No one. Yeah, that's smart.
[/h4]
[HEADING=3]Prediction[/HEADING]
All 3 next gen consoles will flop as they now have to compete with AFFORDABLE premium smartphones, ultrabooks, laptops, tablets and mid-range pc's -- something the PS3, Xbox360 and Wii did not have to do. I personally got my first cellphone in 2006, and it wasn't until 09' that I finally got a Playstation 3 -- two years after launch.
Another thing: statistics show that consumers choose all of those technologies before even considering a new video game system. In other words, why is mom going to buy her son or daughter a next gen console, when she just bought them a Laptop and Galaxy S4? Or what if she gives them a choice? What's more important: a console, a cellphone or laptop.
What gets you more independence?
Another point Emily makes is that there is no way the next gen titles will sell on those platforms when they are being ported to current gen consoles for the sake of publishers breaking even or even making a profit.
My most anticipated game is
Watchdogs, and which is coming out for the PC and PS3, which I both have. The same is happening for
Assassin's Creed 4: Black Flag. So what's the point of a PS4/xbox720?
And the Wii U does even have a
Super Mario Galaxy 3 on the horizon!
[HEADING=1]Wii U a bad omen[/HEADING]
The Wii U failed to sell not because of software; but because there is absolutely no need for it in the market place. There is no need for another console to share 3rd party ports with the PC, Xbox360, and PS3 -- and this was what Nintendo was really banking on, 3rd Party Support.
Not only did this console lack any distinctive quality from its last iteration, and not only did it lack a plethora of major exclusive titles, but it missed completely the point of why the industry asks for a next gen console.
Affordability of creating technology (Consoles) and software (titles). Neither of these are happening in the next generation. The truth is, Nintendo needed to rush the Wii U out after a steep decline in software sales for the Wii -- and here it is, an ugly mess from top to bottom, and a bad omen for things to come with the next gen platforms.
The Wii failed miserably after that 3 year golden period because their system sellers were terribly paced, coming out within 3 years (
Super Mario Galaxy 1 &
2) and 5 years (
Zelda's Twilight Princess and
Skyward Sword) of each other.
You just... don't do that.
Source: www.notenoughshaders.com [http://www.notenoughshaders.com/2012/07/02/the-rise-of-costs-the-fall-of-gaming/]