Roe v Wade discussions in the supreme court.

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Worgen

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Whatever, just wash your hands.
Republicans are killing off their base, that’s the terrible irony. Instead of fighting things that saves lives they should help promote it to help end this pandemic.

I hate the politicization of this pandemic. It drives me nuts!
I like that republicans started noticing their voters dropping dead and kinda tried to change and tell people to get vaccinated then got push back and just jumped back on the stupid bus.
 
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Worgen

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Whatever, just wash your hands.
Anyway, back to Roe v Wade news:

Supreme court decided 5-4 to not shut down Texas's bullshit bounty law until a case winds through the court system, *and* that you can't sue state officials over it, because what's good for the goose is definitely not good for the gander in Texas.

Which means there's nothing in place to stop this exact same bullshit from popping up in other states. I'm expecting 6 more versions of this law by February.
Or till a blue state just copy/pastes the law but with guns/open carry.
 

The Rogue Wolf

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Trunkage

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Careful what you wish for republicans. It can come back to bite you.
The only 2 times I remember conservatives in America willing to change guns laws was the the coal mining strikes in the 20/30s and when the Black Panthers were still around

Suprising no one.

Edit: Shit. Forgot about Reagan
 
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Worgen

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Whatever, just wash your hands.
The only 2 times I remember conservatives in America willing to change guns laws was the the coal mining strikes in the 20/30s and when the Black Panthers were still around

Suprising no one.
They say that, but more gun control tends to be passed by republican presidents then democratic ones. Mainly cause with a republican they have to at least look like they are trying to do something and if its a republican president then their legislators don't look as good by just stonewalling everything they try and do.
 

Trunkage

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They say that, but more gun control tends to be passed by republican presidents then democratic ones. Mainly cause with a republican they have to at least look like they are trying to do something and if its a republican president then their legislators don't look as good by just stonewalling everything they try and do.
Something similar happened with Australian gun laws. They were brought in by conservatives. If they were done by pepgressives, they would have been panned.

Too many times in Oz, an idea put forward by progressives a decade ago, that is completely panned by conservatives back then, will be repackaged by conservatives in their new platform. It's crazy
 

Schadrach

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Anyway, back to Roe v Wade news:

Supreme court decided 5-4 to not shut down Texas's bullshit bounty law until a case winds through the court system, *and* that you can't sue state officials over it, because what's good for the goose is definitely not good for the gander in Texas.
Of course you can't sue state officials over it, that's by *design*. Normally, the lawsuits to fight these things are against whatever official is responsible for enforcing it, but state officials are explicitly forbidden from starting suits over this law specifically so they are the wrong people to sue.

Careful what you wish for republicans. It can come back to bite you.
Honestly, doing something like this or something even more overtly unconstitutional using the same enforcement mechanism is going to be the way to go if SCOTUS ends up upholding this abortion law. Though I can't imagine SCOTUS letting it stand - it's literally a law designed to neuter the power of the judiciary in a way that can and will be used in the future if they don't kill it.
 

Agema

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Something similar happened with Australian gun laws. They were brought in by conservatives. If they were done by pepgressives, they would have been panned.
There is a logic to this.

So when left-wingers increase taxes, people think "Bloody socialists stealing our salary to waste on useless government programmes". However, when conservatives do it, because conservatives are not expected to do this, it is more likely to be interpreted as prudence due to there being an important need. Effectively, parties tend to have more credibility when enacting the opposite of what they are expected to do.

However, that credibility doesn't necessarily extend to being respected and liked for it by everyone.
 

Thaluikhain

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Something similar happened with Australian gun laws. They were brought in by conservatives. If they were done by pepgressives, they would have been panned.
Not quite. While I'm not sure whether gun control was a conservative issue or not before Port Arthur, once Australia got the (then) greatest number of kills in a single mass shooting, more or less the entire country was pro-gun control, and while the Liberal Party was in charge of the Federal government, you had Labor in charge of various states and they were able to work together on that one because it wasn't a divisive issue. Gun restrictions are still determined by states, they just are broadly similar, and generally well thought out (notable exception the issue with lever action shotguns).

Noticeably, when then PM John Howard wore a bulletproof vest for a press conference on gun control, gun owners were outraged at the implication that owning a gun made you a traitor/terrorist.
 

Phoenixmgs

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This is complete delusion.
Did you miss the EVERYONE part of that statement? Look at the data (aka SCIENCE) that's out there. Bangladesh study shows masks did nothing for those under 50. Most other developed nations aren't masking kids, even the WHO says not to mask kids. There's no reason to vaccinate those that already had covid or healthy kids (per German data). 10s of thousands died because we didn't prioritize those that didn't have covid when rolling out vaccines so many at-risk completely non-immune people got vaccinated later while those that had covid previously took the limited shots during the vaccine rollout. Not spacing the shots longer apart also caused deaths as it's better to give all one dose than getting half fully vaccinated (and half completely unvaccinated) in the same amount of time.


Yes it is. Abortion was not an issue until Jerry Falwell made it one. You're just marching in lock step to his tune.

And it's not so much that you were off by a percentage point. It's that you either lied about it or didn't vet your source and just assumed the majority agreed with you.
I don't know and couldn't care less who Jerry Falwell is. I previously stated I go by deontology for my morals, it has nothing to do with this Jerry guy. AGAIN, I DON'T KNOW HOW MANY TIMES I HAVE TO RESTATE THIS, I REPLIED TO A POST SAYING BASICALLY "WHY IS THIS EVEN A DEBATE BECAUSE IT SOME RELIGIOUS BELIEF STUFF?" That is not what is at all, this isn't same debate about not eating meat on Fridays or some shit. I said PROBABLY most people would say killing a fetus is bad if you just asked them generally, and I still could be right because you have like 5% undecided which can swing the "vote" along with only a 1% difference in the poll and I'm sure there's some error % in the poll like all polls. There's a reason why there's always a gasp in the audience when a pregnant woman gets killed in a movie. LASTLY, I SAID I'M NOT FOR A LAW BANNING ABORTIONS BECAUSE SOME ARE INDEED MORAL AND IT WOULD BE LOGISTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE TO ONLY HAVE MORAL ABORTIONS ANYWAY SO IT'S KINDA POINTLESS.

Glad to. Because that wasn't a proper lockdown, that was just what happens during a natural disaster.

Then they're wrong.
That's how the term lockdowns is used in the US.

Because it was a natural disaster preventing people from getting to work (fuck anyone who says I need to put my life on the line for some bougie's bottom line) and we live in a system where the landlords themselves sure as hell weren't going to volunteer to absorb the costs.
Wealth is health in the US, and we just had the greatest transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich over covid restrictions. There wasn't streets filled with water from say a hurricane preventing people from getting to work, it was the government alone preventing people from going to work. I'd rather go to work and have health insurance so if I got sick, I wouldn't lose my life savings. Not going to work isn't protecting me from catching covid (it lowers the chance, yes), I'd like to be able to go to the hospital if I had to whether it was from covid or a multitude of other things. Lockdowns saved lives in the very short-term, but not even close to saving life in the long-term and poor people got even poorer, that's not good for them or their kids at all.


1. That's the Heritage Foundation. All of their data is suspect until vetted.
2. If you want non-partisan evidence, here's a list of Covid death rates per 100,000 people by state. You have noted that the top is a mix of blue and red states. But consider....
3. If you look at the data, Covd is hitting hardest in two kinds of places: areas with extremely high population density (e.g. New York, New Jersey) and solidly red states where the Republican response to Covid is to be pro-Covid. Red states tend to have a lower population density and fewer metropolises like NYC or LA. This matters because the greater the population density, the greater the ease of transmission by the virus.
4. Incidentally, these same low density population states also have the worst vaccination rates. This makes transmission of the virus much easier as fewer bodies are equipped to fight back. You're looking only at total deaths in isolation from all other statistics. Obviously states with lower populations and population density are going to see fewer deaths total. But when you look at the data, the rate at which people are dying is clearly the worst in red states. Per capita their populations are being hit the hardest.
5. The attitude of people like yourself has dramatically helped the spread of the virus, prolonged the pandemic, and indirectly caused the rise of new variants.

I don't know whether you knew all of this and deliberately obfuscated it from your argument or if you're genuinely just that ignorant. Frankly, I'm done caring which one it is.
I specifically said I wanted data per state BEFORE vaccinations were available and that was the only source I found. I wanted data BEFORE vaccinations because that will show what policies, if any, actually worked. We all know vaccinations are the biggest contributing factor to death rates and that's not a policy difference between democrats and republicans. And you're still looking at the wrong data because that data you posted is adjusted for age because guess what? A state that has more elderly is going to have more deaths if both states had the same exact amount of spread (like a quarter of the population got it). When you look at that data, Florida is doing better than average. The fact that Florida was average to slightly above average is deaths per 100k in 2020 WITHOUT adjusting for age shows how well the state did and all with no restrictions and schools open and all that. So if the most open state can pull those type of numbers, how many lives have those covid restrictions actually saved? AGAIN, life lost is just not only in the short-term but long-term, which you keep ignoring.

- The virus was always going to spread to everyone eventually so how am I causing it to spread more?
- Ask Floridians about prolonging the pandemic, the pandemic lasted the shortest amount of time in Florida. Even super vaccinated and boosted places like Israel are seeing the same covid waves so even if everyone in the US went and got vaccinated and boosted, we'd still be in this "pandemic". Blue states are prolonging it with pointless restrictions and fear mongering like Omicron that's milder than the Indian variant (Delta). How am I or "my" people causing variants, none of these variants originated in the US and the places most likely to have variants is countries with very low vaccinations because "your" people are hoarding all the vaccines and doing pointless boosters.

Oh Christ but you understand so little.

Lockdowns don't - in the long term - stop people dying of disease: it's more that they kick the can down the road. The purpose of a lockdown is to break the rapid transmission of a disease when the number of people ill starts becoming so high that it threatens to overwhelm the capacity of health services. If the health services become overwhelmed, deaths maginify at a very alarming rate, not only from the disease itself but also a load of other health problems that can no longer be treated either. Ideally of course the can may be able to be kicked down the road long enough so that a therapy can be developed. Bear in mind that over 1000 Americans a day are dying of covid, even though most of the adult population is vaccinated. What would we be looking at if they were not? What does this suggest to us about how bad it could have been without any alternative control before the vaccine?

Quite likely there were ineffective lockdowns, because some authorities shut everything down at an inappropriate time. Lockdowns also exist within a wider body of public health measures, and thus will have at best a severely muted effect where the other measures are nonexistant or poor. There's also plentiful evidence that in many states, application of lockdown was inconsistent or undermined (even by something as simple as civil disobedience).

When I think about shitty and stupid public health comms, you are a prime example of what happens with such a failure. In the absence of a clear and reliable message, people latch onto whatever bullshit passes their way, and delude themselves they're enlightened geniuses who "follow the science", where everyone else are just dumb sheeple.



You can look at 2020 before vaccinations to get an idea of what we'd be looking at. You can look at Florida that did better than average and had no restrictions basically all of 2020 and no overwhelmed medical systems. I didn't claim that lockdowns didn't stop deaths from covid, my claim is in the long-term, lockdowns produced far more harm than benefit. Also, lockdowns are a very crude way of protecting people because most people that got to stay home because of lockdowns weren't part of the highly at-risk population, we protected the healthy and exposed the vulnerable more often than not. Where is your "proof" or "science" that says lockdowns produced more benefits? Every single cost-benefit analysis of lockdowns says they've cost more lives. Surely you can produce such a document.


He won't. The reason I put him on ignore is that every word he writes is an attempt to justify his viewpoint that we should all have been willing to die rather than inconvenience him with lockdowns.
Yet you can't produce a document saying lockdowns actually saved more lives...
 

Buyetyen

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I don't know and couldn't care less who Jerry Falwell is.
Doesn't mean you aren't doing his dirty work all the same.

That's how the term lockdowns is used in the US.
Yeah, incorrectly.

Wealth is health in the US, and we just had the greatest transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich over covid restrictions. There wasn't streets filled with water from say a hurricane preventing people from getting to work, it was the government alone preventing people from going to work. I'd rather go to work and have health insurance so if I got sick, I wouldn't lose my life savings. Not going to work isn't protecting me from catching covid (it lowers the chance, yes), I'd like to be able to go to the hospital if I had to whether it was from covid or a multitude of other things. Lockdowns saved lives in the very short-term, but not even close to saving life in the long-term and poor people got even poorer, that's not good for them or their kids at all.
Sounds like a great argument for universal healthcare and a UBI along with all the childcare stuff that progressives are making some noise about.

Aside, lowering the chance of catching Covid isn't protecting you from Covid? Is that seriously your argument?

I specifically said I wanted data per state BEFORE vaccinations were available and that was the only source I found.
You say a lot of things, but if that's your excuse to completely blow off the data you were given in favor of more blah-blah-blah, then I can't be fucked to read any of it.
 

Agema

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Where is your "proof" or "science" that says lockdowns produced more benefits? Every single cost-benefit analysis of lockdowns says they've cost more lives. Surely you can produce such a document.
Do you know why you are talking about cost-benefit analyses?

You are not talking about them because you understand anything or you have any great interest or insight. People have been doing some, and they've been doing them for about a year and a half. The thing that's happened for you to suddenly pay attention is that right wing media noticed and cherry picked a few extreme examples that present lockdowns unfavourably, because lockdowns cost big business money. And so as prompted, the peanut gallery took notice. And then because you hate lockdowns and these analyses flattered your prejudices, you just decided that the thoughtless garbage put out by the media is now the gospel truth by default that everyone must prove wrong, without bothering to a read or understand a damn thing to make any sense of it.

I know you don't understand what you are talking about because, as has already pointed out to you, these analyses are not measuring lives: they are measuring money.

There are ways that organisations place monetary values on a life. So, for instance, a health organisation may say that a medical treatment needs to provide a certain amount of quality of life within a certain cost before they will provide it. Individuals also make these sorts of judgements, and economists have ways of estimating how much individuals are prepared to pay. It might be interesting to note, of course, that many of these values are not consistent. One organisation may say $20,000 to keep someone alive for a year, another $100,000, and so on, and individuals may likewise vary greatly.

So what some of these economists are doing is saying "Organisation X thinks a life is worth $A, so if lockdown costs $B and saves C lives, if B is greater than A x C then lockdown is more costly than not. In and of itself, this is fine, and it's very likely lockdown may have been more economically expensive than not. But you also have to apply it in a sensible context and a much bigger picture, and thinking economic cost is the same as life indicates you're not even close to managing that.

Just because an organisation assigns a certain value to a year of life, it does not mean that imposing an economic cost of that amount removes a year of life. For instance, let's say that someone decides a year of life is worth $50,000. If Jeff Bezos burns a billion dollars - literally: a bonfire of dollar bills - it makes effectively no difference whatsoever to anyone's life expectancy. It's not like 20,000 years of life in the world went up in flames too, as if ~250-300 newborn babies suddenly died in their cribs. It's incredibly obviously not how it works.

So, did lockdowns save lives? Very likely. Was lockdown an efficient way of saving lives compared to other things that could have saved lives... quite possibly not. But it's a fallacy to think that had those economic losses from lockdown not been incurred, the money would have been spent saving lives. It might have been used for millionaires to buy more yachts. Then there are other considerations. We could just isolate the vulnerable, but how fair and just is it to lock up sectors of the populace (for their own survival), whilst those not at risk walk free, earn, party hard and carry on as normal? How much are we prepared to pay for justice and fairness? Maybe how much we're prepared to pay isn't the point at all, because a lot of things defy crude attempts to reduce them to mere economic value.

Or to quote the comedian Simon Munnery: "What a lot of people don't understand is that if you look at things globally, from a strictly economic perspective, that makes you a wanker."