5 years seems high. I give it 3.
2017 will be Thor 3 and Avengers 3, Ant-Man and Doctor Strange will be out, Chris Evans and RDJ's contracts will have both run out, so Captain America and Iron Man are both going to take a hit. So, unless they can extend those contracts, Marvel will be looking for more big name heroes to serve as their tent poles for the series while they regain momentum with Iron Man's and Cap's new actors. Right now, Marvel's looking at Doctor Strange to take Iron Man's place as the primary badass....and no one is real sure how that would actually pan out.
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Zontar said:
The price tag would be at least in the billions
A billion, maybe. Disney bought Star Wars for 4 billion. Spider-Man is nothing compared to Star Wars.
which would actually require Disney to step in.
Marvel and Disney are the same company now.
That 1.5 billion they made from the Avengers isn't 1.5 billion in profit
You're right. Only 1.3 billion dollars of that was profit. It's only ALMOST all profit.
That, coupled with the fact that Sony is in a financial state where they wouldn't sell the licences for even a reasonable price
Disney has the money to buy Sony Pictures Entertainment as a whole.
remember, Marvel can't even afford buying at a reasonable price
Marvel could. But they don't need to. They have Disney's wallet.
and you end up with it being a pipedream to believe Marvel will get the rights back any time soon.
If they don't get the rights back soon, it's only because they've elected not to.