US(and a bunch of other places) vs Libya, GO!

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Frankster

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In all my time lurking on the escapist this is the only time i've ever seen france talked off in a positive light *sniff*

/wipeawaytear
 

emeraldrafael

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thelonewolf266 said:
Well... yeah, you're right in the last part, about Americans being mad. And again, this is because we have China here. If we broke from china (slowly of course) and made our own products, we (Americans) would be more used to the idea, since it would bring more jobs in, and create more money to spend.

What China does is it floods the market with cheaply priced goods, meanwhile in their own country they sell it for an outrageous price to make up for the loss the producing company takes. There's a term for it, I just forget what it is.

Because of this, the Yuan (the Chinese currency) is severely low in value, so what China wants to do is raise that (because the US [and most of the world]'s economy is crappy right now [though the US is showing signs of bouncing back. We're offcially out of the recession, and right now its just getting people back to their jobs and reducing the unemployment. If we can get rid of Unions, or at least take away some of the power, then we can boost the manual labor stuff that China does for us and give those jobs to Americans), which means that its going to have to start raising its price on exported goods. So they're banking on the hope that the US will see no other alternative and continue to buy from China.

HOWEVER: If China went to war against the US, tehy're not going to export, and the US wont Import. The US does have the means to make the stuff china does for us in the US (Steel and plastic especially. Pittsburgh [where I live] would raise once again to a huge manufacturer of Steel, and a number one exporter, like it was back in WW2). China doesnt have that much outside of the US and their allies to trade to and make a profit. Sanctions from US allied country, or Western Countries, would largely destroy China's economy (and their will to fight a war). So the US citizen loses the ability to complain when the realize THE GUY THAT TRADED TO US, IS NO LONGER TRADING TO US!

tl;dr China's Domestic Economy is Garbage, but their foreign is incredible. Take away the latter, the former wont support and makes the country crumble. Its much hte same as those Oil rich countries that like to say with them, the US would collapse, when really without the US, they would collapse.
 

emeraldrafael

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Bobbity said:
Did anyone not see this ages ago? The Libyans have oil, and that's motivation enough :p
Anyway, it's probably just going to make things worse for Libyans in the short term. Let's hope the long term benefits to the people of Libya outweigh the short/mid term suffering.

It'd be really nice if the US could stop going to war with everyone though, and just be happy with peace for once.

/edit
I don't think this is going to be as bad as Iraq, because the people are already in rebellion, and once the current Libyan government is gone, the violence will hopefully die down pretty quickly.
The US isnt THE driving force behind this one. Sure, they're one of them, but this is France and Britain. Actuallly, this is really the UN (mainly) but specifically France and Britain. Both of whom do enjoy Oil too.

The title (and perception) needs a complete overhaul to accurately assess the situation.
 

Baradiel

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AccursedTheory said:
Surprisingly, yes.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/nov/30/china-wants-korean-reunification
Littlee300 said:
That is correct. Here is another article http://www.upiasia.com/Politics/2008/11/06/why_china_supports_korean_unification/2763/
ninja -.-
Interesting reads. Might try and find the original source, if its on Wikileaks. The Guardian is usually good for presenting things as they are, but its still a newspaper, and therefore EVIL!

Anyway, one of those articles does say that China would act to prevent a "third party" interfering militarily with the Korean Reunification. This may not mean that China and N. Korea are best buds, but it still supports my point that interfering with North Korea would aggravate China, whether it is in their best interests or not.

Still, I fancy having a read of the original source. Don't suppose either of you fine gentlemen have a direct link? Perhaps you, Mr Google?
 

Nouw

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Baradiel said:
Dark Knifer said:
Baradiel said:
Souplex said:
I don't get how they can go after Libya, and continue to ignore North Korea.
North Korea has the backing of China and, to some extent, Russia. Either of those countries could veto any UN action, and it could easily escalate if one of those super powers decided to help their ally. Libya is a international pariah.

Also, if your cynical, North Korea doesn't have any oil...
Even china is growing sick of North Korea and the reason why korea has been quite of late is because china told them to stand down, so I doubt china or russia would object to UN action if North Korea started making noise again.

And being cynical on subjects like this, I'd go as far to say that they have been waiting for lybia to go into civil war or maybe even initiated it for the oil, though that might be going too far. But we all know the UN has a history of being free of corruption, backing up just causes for no profit, bringing peace wherever they go and not being biased...
To your first point; true, China does seem to be getting tired with their little brother, but I believe that they would still step in to help. Removing the "Communist" system in North Korea would lead to a unified Korea, backed (most likely) by the US. Sino-American relations may be pretty steady, but I doubt they would be willing to allow their historic enemy another foothold closer to China.

To your second; I hope your last sentence is tongue-in-cheek. Seriously. It can't not be. Please tell me its sarcastic. PLEASE!
I doubt China would help North Korea if the US stepped in, doesn't China need America for their own economy?
 

Baradiel

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emeraldrafael said:
Because of this, the Yuan (the Chinese currency) is severely low in value, so what China wants to do is raise that (because the US [and most of the world]'s economy is crappy right now [though the US is showing signs of bouncing back.
I know very little about economics, but isn't the Yuan artificially kept low by the Chinese Government? I'm sure you said that in your post, but I just want to clarify.
 

Baradiel

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Nouw said:
Baradiel said:
Dark Knifer said:
Baradiel said:
Souplex said:
I don't get how they can go after Libya, and continue to ignore North Korea.
North Korea has the backing of China and, to some extent, Russia. Either of those countries could veto any UN action, and it could easily escalate if one of those super powers decided to help their ally. Libya is a international pariah.

Also, if your cynical, North Korea doesn't have any oil...
Even china is growing sick of North Korea and the reason why korea has been quite of late is because china told them to stand down, so I doubt china or russia would object to UN action if North Korea started making noise again.

And being cynical on subjects like this, I'd go as far to say that they have been waiting for lybia to go into civil war or maybe even initiated it for the oil, though that might be going too far. But we all know the UN has a history of being free of corruption, backing up just causes for no profit, bringing peace wherever they go and not being biased...
To your first point; true, China does seem to be getting tired with their little brother, but I believe that they would still step in to help. Removing the "Communist" system in North Korea would lead to a unified Korea, backed (most likely) by the US. Sino-American relations may be pretty steady, but I doubt they would be willing to allow their historic enemy another foothold closer to China.

To your second; I hope your last sentence is tongue-in-cheek. Seriously. It can't not be. Please tell me its sarcastic. PLEASE!
I doubt China would help North Korea if the US stepped in, doesn't China need America for their own economy?
If it was in their best interests, or if they stick to their declaration on the Reunification of Korea (ie, any foriegn party that militarily involves itself with Korea shall feel Chinas WRAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAATH!) China would probably use force. They have the largest standing army in the world, might as well use it!

In all seriousness, it depends on the circumstances of any intervention. If there was a large scale rebellion in N. Korea (unlikely, because of the MASSIVE amount of indoctrination),it could possibly end up like Libya, with China abstaining from the vote. If it could be seen as American Imperialism, it is much more likely that China and America could meet in battle.

EDIT: America owes China an incredible amount of money. They both rely on each other, economically. Someone else (with a much better understanding of economics than me) posted slightly earlier.
 

Volstag9

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Nouw said:
Baradiel said:
Dark Knifer said:
Baradiel said:
Souplex said:
I don't get how they can go after Libya, and continue to ignore North Korea.
North Korea has the backing of China and, to some extent, Russia. Either of those countries could veto any UN action, and it could easily escalate if one of those super powers decided to help their ally. Libya is a international pariah.

Also, if your cynical, North Korea doesn't have any oil...
Even china is growing sick of North Korea and the reason why korea has been quite of late is because china told them to stand down, so I doubt china or russia would object to UN action if North Korea started making noise again.

And being cynical on subjects like this, I'd go as far to say that they have been waiting for lybia to go into civil war or maybe even initiated it for the oil, though that might be going too far. But we all know the UN has a history of being free of corruption, backing up just causes for no profit, bringing peace wherever they go and not being biased...
To your first point; true, China does seem to be getting tired with their little brother, but I believe that they would still step in to help. Removing the "Communist" system in North Korea would lead to a unified Korea, backed (most likely) by the US. Sino-American relations may be pretty steady, but I doubt they would be willing to allow their historic enemy another foothold closer to China.

To your second; I hope your last sentence is tongue-in-cheek. Seriously. It can't not be. Please tell me its sarcastic. PLEASE!
I doubt China would help North Korea if the US stepped in, doesn't China need America for their own economy?
Yeah, China and the USA seem pretty dependent on one another. Also i don't think China would step in their relation with NK are pretty poor.

OT: I am glad for the involvement. Even if benghazi if taken i think that Gahdaffi is done for anyway. The rebels will carry the day in one form or another. Libya would probably be leveled though.
 

emeraldrafael

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Baradiel said:
emeraldrafael said:
Because of this, the Yuan (the Chinese currency) is severely low in value, so what China wants to do is raise that (because the US [and most of the world]'s economy is crappy right now [though the US is showing signs of bouncing back.
I know very little about economics, but isn't the Yuan artificially kept low by the Chinese Government? I'm sure you said that in your post, but I just want to clarify.
It is, and thats so the US will buy from China (because the exchange rate is cheap, and over values the US dollar. I did mention that in my post. Thats why China needs to start raising it now, because there's a push for the US to manufacture more Domestically, and not rely on Foreign. If Unions lose their power, then this will go a long way closer to happening, and China will lose much of its income, because if the US starts making things like Steel, and then exporting them (because US steel is much higher quality then Chinese) China will lose partners all across the globe, and go back to a a second world (or at worse third world) country.
 

Jenkins

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Hitting NK will start WW3 without a doubt but people sometimes dont tend to think things through, series of events: North vs South Korea fight, US gets dragged in due to our alliance and that we have thousands of US troops in the south, when the U.S gets dragged in NATO gets dragged in because "an attack on one is an attack on all", China wont stand for this and backs the North like they have done before, China's allies also attack and thus ww3, good job.
 

JaceArveduin

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2xDouble said:
Screw it, lets just blow them all up. Everyone, on all sides. Mass extinction = problem solved.
This is the easiest way to deal with all of these problems. Unfortunately, people with morale standards seem to believe mass extinction as a bad thing. (anyone else realize that the world's population started to skyrocket once the medical fields became advanced and the world decided it wanted to protect everyone)

http://subdude-site.com/WebPages_Local/Blog/topics/environment/enviro_worldPopGrowth_charts.htm
the fact that the worlds population is basically exploding, a few mass exterminations could possibly help make our resources last longer. not that its likely to every happen.
 

SenorNemo

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Mar 14, 2011
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*finds thread on recent developments in Libya*
*comes up with well reasoned analysis of situation*
*goes to end of thread and finds conversation has totally shifted focus*

Foreign policy is fun stuff. I wish more people gave more thought to it than a single glance reaction. I'm glad the community here is generally better than that.

Littlee300 said:
That is correct. Here is another article http://www.upiasia.com/Politics/2008/11/06/why_china_supports_korean_unification/2763/
ninja -.-
Interesting article, seems well reasoned. China seems to be operating more and more on realpolitik (albeit fairly responsible realpolitik) than anything that's suggested in their founding principles (it's almost as if they're becoming responsible or something), so it wouldn't surprise me if China's favor for a united Korea went beyond favor for either the North or South. Still, I have to wonder how receptive the South would be to any serious political pressure from China, given the increasingly nationalistic and hawkish stance their government seems to be taking.

Edit: Gah, ninja'd several times over.
 

Sinisterair

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yaik7a said:
AccursedTheory said:
yaik7a said:
Smagmuck_ said:
yaik7a said:
I hope Gaddafi Wins in this conflict.
Can I infer as to why?
Well attacking your own civilians is not a big deal and the rest of the worlds countries should mind there own shit and even though Gaddafi is winning if the rebels win there will still be civil war and a power vacuum.
Are you serious?

I... don't even know how to respond to this.

As for the main topic... come on, we all saw it coming. With all luck, the jack-off in charge will see where this is going and apply for asylum out of country.

Until then, go, my Navy brethren, and drop explosives til the cows come home!

yaik7a said:
Even the USA kills its own people. It is just a difference in what each government sees as a crime.
How and when?
Death penalty.
Theres a difference in believing for freedom as opposed to Killing/Raping/ Ect...
 

razer17

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EcksTeaSea said:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-12796972

I can see this ending well for the rebellion.
Firstly, there are only 7 countries going in, the US, the UK and France. It would have been easier saying that that instead of proclaiming "THE US... and some other places". indicating that somehow the US is more important. And considering the French were the first in, if anything it would be France and other places.
 

Cpt Corallis

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Lopsided Weener said:
If anybody believes that the reason this is whole intervention is to protect civilians, then they need to open their eyes. What the hell are we doing going into another country, and interfering with an interior problem? No matter how much of a dick their government is, it's the official government. I understand that they fired on peaceful protesters, but when these peaceful protesters took up arms, the government suddenly has every right to use force against them. If you have your own civilians staging an armed uprising against you, organised by who know who, what would you do?

If you look at the world in black and white this intervention probably seems fully justified, especially if you're the white. But the world is just a load of different shades of grey, and you shouldn't ever look at anything one sided.

Meh. ramble ramble.
.

The issue is that Gaddafi does not have a legitimate government in the first place, coming to power through armed coup (as far as I am aware, someone correct me if I am wrong) and that any claims he may have had to legitimate authority went out the window when he began using open and illegitimate coercion against peaceful progresses exercising their human and democratic rights.
 

Wicky_42

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So long as we don't go arming the rebels things are looking OK. Gaddafi's a jackass, and bombing his army balances things out for the rebellion, and makes life easier for the average citizen. So long as no foreign troops even move in, there shouldn't be any issues like Iraq.
 

Wicky_42

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Lopsided Weener said:
If anybody believes that the reason this is whole intervention is to protect civilians, then they need to open their eyes. What the hell are we doing going into another country, and interfering with an interior problem? No matter how much of a dick their government is, it's the official government. I understand that they fired on peaceful protesters, but when these peaceful protesters took up arms, the government suddenly has every right to use force against them. If you have your own civilians staging an armed uprising against you, organised by who know who, what would you do?
No. Gaddafi was using jets on civilian protests long before and 'rebellion' arose. He saw the troubles in neighbouring countries, saw a rise in popular opinion for regime change, and decided he would stay in power at all costs, or take everyone else down with him. He is a grade A asshole - he's not even an elected government, just a dickhead with guns. Why are you defending him?

"I understand he fired on peaceful protesters, but..." there is no "but" to that. Step back and think for a second about what that implies. I simply can't comprehend this sort of an attitude.

Finally, no one's "going in" - just bombing the shit out of him to STOP HIM ASSAULTING CIVILIANS WITH AN ARMY. No ground forces; just aerial support to the home-grown rebellion.
 

Lopsided Weener

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Cpt Corallis said:
Lopsided Weener said:
If anybody believes that the reason this is whole intervention is to protect civilians, then they need to open their eyes. What the hell are we doing going into another country, and interfering with an interior problem? No matter how much of a dick their government is, it's the official government. I understand that they fired on peaceful protesters, but when these peaceful protesters took up arms, the government suddenly has every right to use force against them. If you have your own civilians staging an armed uprising against you, organised by who know who, what would you do?

If you look at the world in black and white this intervention probably seems fully justified, especially if you're the white. But the world is just a load of different shades of grey, and you shouldn't ever look at anything one sided.

Meh. ramble ramble.
.

The issue is that Gaddafi does not have a legitimate government in the first place, coming to power through armed coup (as far as I am aware, someone correct me if I am wrong) and that any claims he may have had to legitimate authority went out the window when he began using open and illegitimate coercion against peaceful progresses exercising their human and democratic rights.
If his government was truly illegitimate then why were western governments still willing to treat his government as legitimate before all of this? I believe there's videos of Tony Blair and other European nations welcoming Gaddaffi with open arms only a few years ago.

I understand what you're saying, and maybe good will come of this, but there's numerous other examples where ruthless dictators have committed crimes far worse than this and nothing has been done. You don't see the UN enforcing no fly zones over the Democratic Republic of Congo do you? The only reason we're intervening is because it's in the interest of some other nations, and not in the interest of the people. (However in this case their interests coincide.)
 

Cpt Corallis

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GotMalkAvian said:
Serving UpSmiles said:
Whats the point in getting all Liberal about it, its still going to happen, the least we can do is support it.
Wow, that sounds like something a rapist would say...

Seriously, though, does anyone else get the itching feeling that we have have just witnessed the first shots of WWIII? Russia's already getting angry over this, Qadaffi's calling for support from all Islamic nations, and who knows what other countries may jump on board and start forming their own coalition...
I doubt it somewhat as the Arab League gave full support to the UN over the no fly zone.

Also, can everyone stop calling this a "war" that the USA started? It was a joint British-French initiative at the behest of the Libyan rebels. Last week, The British government was criticised by Washington over "loose talk" about the possibility of a no fly zone. I'm not saying that the US will have no part in the operations in Libya. They undoubtedly will, my point is simply that a lot of US politicians were not champing at the bit for another round in the middle east.