Ok, I'll go at this from a hypothetical standpoint.
Given that the
Herrenvolk idea is still in Hitler's head and his mental health is failing badly due to the cocktail of drugs he's taking, his policies would become far more insular.
Without the threat of war, the UK wouldn't have elected Churchill (Ho no no no!) and opted not to go to war to start with. The US had their own problems coming out of the depression, and would be pushing ahead with their war against the Japanese.
The Russian troops would see Germany's crippling financial status and start on their objective to crush Germany on their conquest of Europe. News of the new
Krystallnacht would have reached the Polish through German informers and the Polish army would have called for the help of European allies.
Russia, hearing of this, would start pushing their army across the Steppes.
France and Spain would be too isolationist to help, but the other Eastern European countries with a high Jewish population would be pushed to helping. This in turn would anger the Muslim's who might believe they were trying to take a new Palestine.
As the Polish army strikes back at the heavily defended Germans, help would come in from the Arabians, probably in the form of oil for the German Tanks. At a similar time, the Russian Army would fall heavily from the same problem they used in the original World War 2, the Steppes crippling their supply train.
With Germany being hit from both sides, they'd naturally call for help and the only country in a position to help and to be welcomed by Germany would be the English, as Gladstone believed they could regain the Empire and Hitler always feared the English for the same reason.
England's dire offensive capabilities, crushed by the First World War, means that they could bring nothing to the fight, but the French would probably stay on the side of it's nearest neighbours by blocking routes in. Spain was still in the grip of it's own civil war.
With the help of the Arabians and the threat of the English, the Polish army would retreat, as would the exhausted Russians. The Arabians counter-offer would be to bring the Germany Army to attack Africa instead, which Hitler would be pleased as the fight could go on against the Africans instead of the Jewish.
America and Australia would cripple the Japanese without their ally and Hiroshima/Nagasaki wouldn't be needed, but the German/Arabic push into Africa would force the Allied Forces to bring in their troops to protect it.
Stripped of their greatest weapons and having to travel huge distances across hostile land, both the US and the UK would be pushed to breaking point, just as Hitler's new death camps in Egypt were put into production.
Without their great leaders, the Allies would have little chance of fighing Hitler's growing tyranny, but the man himself was on his last legs. Ordering a suicidal blitzkrieg from his forces, he destroys the Gulf and has all of his greatest scientists shot to preserve the workings of the Third Reich.
Peace comes back to the planet, and with no Swiss gold, the world is left in a massive depression.
Or that's how I see it.
