One of the possible scenarios is that Kim jong-un needs to define his image as separate from his father and grandfather, meaning that he might do something dramatic. Whether or not it will be positive (opening up the country, slowly, to international trade, diplomacy, etc.) or negative (more isolationism or even a provocation on the South - which North Korea traditionally likes to do to draw attention away from domestic issues) remains to be seen. I'd like to believe this will be the first step toward reunification, but I've also heard that the two relatively recent attack on the South, including sinking a warship and shooting an island, may also be attributable to Kim Jong-un rise as a four-star general, according to the BBC. However, trying to say that Kim jong-il was only a figurehead and didn't have any "real" power is just false and underestimates the political legacy established by Kim Il-sung. Even if the degree of his power is exaggerated, one can't discount the effectiveness of his cult of personality, which keeps the starving masses devoting their emotion into misplaced love for him, rather than social revolt.ThatGuy said:In a small dictatorship as secretive as North Korea, it's not unlikely that Kim Jong-il and Kim Jong-un are just figureheads. It's even possible that they answer to a military government, and don't really have much say at all. In other words, they might not be the brains behind the operation.
Either way, I don't think things will get better for North Korea in the short term. And if Kim Jong-un should flex his muscles to solidify his place as a leader, things could get worse. Somehow I doubt this will happen.
Um no. Those missiles are there to counteract the North Korean ones pointed at Seoul. The Korean War has never technically ended, as as the South's primary ally in the war, the U.S. is bound to defend it.TrilbyWill said:hmm.
he's... dead.
well then.
is america going to stop aiming nukes at Korea and calling it 'missile Feng Shui'?
My thoughts exactly.WanderingFool said:Hmmm... Somehow, this is going to be a bad thing...
So here is how it goes down.Ldude893 said:Doubt it. The idea of South Korea uniting with North Korea without hesitation (as the plot of Homefront started) is absurd.Andothul said:And it begins....
Homefront anyone?
I was playing Fallout 3 when my mother told me the news. Jebus Christ, what now.
Wait wait wait wait wait wait.... so you're saying that if North Korea nukes China, the Chinese response will be to nuke the US? That's retarded, there's no way, first of all, that China can't sustain a nuclear war better than North Korea, and surely countermeasures exist. Second, what you're suggesting is the equivalent of Brazil being attacked by Bolivia and responding by declaring war on Poland. If North Korea, on it's own initiative, attacks China, the People's Republic is not going to fire a Parthian shot at the states, they're going to pump all their firepower into making North Korea not exist anymore, because North Korea probably doesn't have the rocketry to wipe China entirely out and the survivors won't want to deal with an invasion. I don't think you really understand how mutually assured destruction works, the idea is that the belligerents will wipe each other out, not that the defending side will attack third parties because they can.spartan231490 said:You do realize that they have nuclear capabilities right? They prolly can't hit too many people, but they can hit china, and there's no way china's not gonna take a few pot shots at the US if they're going down anyway. And there's no way that the US won't take a few pot shots at somebody/anybody/everybody if we're going down anyway. An aggressive North Korea is not good for anybody.Freaky Lou said:Well, fortunately North Korea is a pathetic military force. If he really does rush an attack against basically anyone, he's rushing his own downfall. There's a reason Kim Jong Il never made good on his threats.SillyBear said:I've heard his Son is even worse, and is far more aggressive and problematic.
True, maybe one of those country's missile defense system would stop the chain reaction, but I'm not quite ready for that big of a risk to global survival.
Back in 1990, Iraq boasted also boasted the world's fourth largest military. As it turned out, their outdated main battle tanks weren't even a match for American Bradleys armed with 25mm autocannons, let alone A-10's and Apaches raining down Mavericks and Hellfires on them. To quote General Tom Kelly: "Iraq went from having the fourth-largest army in the world to the second-largest army in Iraq in 100 hours"Smeatza said:http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/2792.htmFreaky Lou said:North Korea doesn't release any true information about themselves. They have no chance whatsoever in a war against anyone; the only reason the US didn't take them out a long time ago is the fact that they're allied with China. The only threat they pose is nuking South Korea---which would be disastrous, but also spell their own doom, so I doubt they'll do it.
North Korea does have the 4th largest military in the world. With plenty of weapons production, chemical weapons and air defense networks.
While the equipment is outdated, their army is still is a significant threat.
And that's besides the nuclear capabilities.
you're technically still at war with Korea?draconiansundae said:Um no. Those missiles are there to counteract the North Korean ones pointed at Seoul. The Korean War has never technically ended, as as the South's primary ally in the war, the U.S. is bound to defend it.TrilbyWill said:hmm.
he's... dead.
well then.
is america going to stop aiming nukes at Korea and calling it 'missile Feng Shui'?
Indeed, we should wait for someone to start killing us before we start discussing the matter.Jumpingbean3 said:Unless an all out war begins this means nothing to me.
Of course, but that doesn't mean they couldn't take out bundles of South Koreans with them. It may get to the point, whether through feeling threatened or being just plain crazy, that the North goes bananas.Freaky Lou said:Well, fortunately North Korea is a pathetic military force. If he really does rush an attack against basically anyone, he's rushing his own downfall. There's a reason Kim Jong Il never made good on his threats.SillyBear said:I've heard his Son is even worse, and is far more aggressive and problematic.
Considering the fact that most North Koreans are in favour of their government and are brainwashed slaves - no. I think it's sad, especially because these people never really got the chance to live a nice life - but I have no real concern for them. They allow this man to be in power.SonicWaffle said:No concern for all the poor bastards stuck in North Korea? They're probably in bigger trouble than the South Koreans.SillyBear said:"Meh" sums up my opinions here - I'm really only concerned for the safety of South Koreans - but even if it did come to war South Korea and allies would wipe the floor with the idiots.
China? Haha. China will not get involved. They may talk the talk - but I find it completely laughable that China would risk trade destruction by fighting the world along side North Korea. China don't need North Korea. If push came to shove and the EU and the USA ended up fighting the North, China would be neutral. They are in it for themselves and would not have their life blood cut off because of North Korea.MCGT said:Yeah but the big worry is what if China gets involved like it did last time, and the massive shitstorm that could lead to.SillyBear said:Apparently his son is even worse. But I really don't care. North Korea fails to scare me in any way, shape or form. "Meh" sums up my opinions here - I'm really only concerned for the safety of South Koreans - but even if it did come to war South Korea and allies would wipe the floor with the idiots.